You're probably right, although it doesn't seem quite methodologically sound to count this as new fields, rather than some old fields increasing their production -- as much of Russia has been doing as they rework things with horizontal wells and frac jobs. This Sibneft page was pretty enlightening. Especially the way that Sibneft's production almost exactly tracks the curve of overall Russian production. It seems to confirm the hypothesis that this is going to end up like the North Sea - big rise in production for a while followed by a crash with very high decline rates.