Very interesting post Dave, thanks.
I do think that this community and CERA are not that far apart. I'd like to remember some more things said in Congress (more or less like this):
"Beyond 15 years, we're all guessing here" - Well, ain't 15 years from now 2020? The year after which CERA predicts the "bumpy plateau".
But most important of all were the questions posed by congressman Alan from Maine:

"We've been talking here about production, but to us what matters is price. If it's going to be a sharp peak or a bumpy plateau, who cares?"

He then questioned Esser if the bumpy plateau would have the same impact in prices as the peak would have. He answered yes.

Congressman Alan : "So you're not telling us to sleep over it, right?"
Esser: "Right."

I mentioned this at the time. CERA is changing it's "posture," if not it's tune. You cannot help but notice it in Esser's testimony towards the end. The jig is up.
good apostrophes.