20 comments on IEA Revisions--The 2006 Forecast
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20 comments on IEA Revisions--The 2006 Forecast
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As for IEA predictions, which is the topic of this thread, yes the IEA has a pretty bad track record but it is consistently bad in one direction only. It's not random noise where they are too optimistic one year and too pessimistic another. There is a specific trend here that can be shown from observing their predictions against actuals for several years. And that trend reinforces the concerns of peak oilers while it also discredits cornucopians who rely on those same IEA optimistic predictions that everything will be ok.
If you want to slap around someone for the content of those comments, why not drop Adam Porter an e-mail? From what little contact I've had with him he seems to be a level-headed guy, and very open to communication with readers/listeners.
And for that matter, I'm with Halfin 100% on this one. Porter's comments weren't what I would consider helpful, but it's certainly true that you can find a LOT of wildly off-base predictions on all sides of the peak oil debate.