<View from the US Independent Producer The Oil Drum Finding the field can be a noisy business>

38 comments on Hurricanes: Trend or Oscillation?

Comments can no longer be added to this story.

| Show without comments | PDF version

vinc on December 3, 2005 - 6:46pm Permalink | Subthread | Comments top
I believe the "oscillation" is over a much longer time period. Like sixty or seventy years. Which is, for all practical purposes, equivalent to a trend if we're trying to deal with the next twenty years.

Here's one article.
Comments can no longer be added to this story.
Stuart Staniford on December 3, 2005 - 9:39pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Exactly. What I see in the picture is an oscillation with maxima around 1880, 1950, and 2020(?), and minima in 1915, 1975, or thereabouts. That's roughly a seventy year period. However, each peak looks higher than the last, and the second minima is much higher than the first.
Comments can no longer be added to this story.

38 comments on Hurricanes: Trend or Oscillation?

Comments can no longer be added to this story.

| Show without comments | PDF version