Definitely going to drop a $100 into the Red Cross bucket later today. Thanks for posting that!

We are going to have a classic short term supply disruption. As absolute supply tightens, you are going to have a situation where a 5-10% decrease in supply could mean a much higher increase in prices due to the lack of elasticity. This could be a good chance to actually measure how elastic demand is to price? How high does price have to go to destroy demand?

Alternatively the cleanest solution to this situation is to have leaders at all levels of government, businesses, etc to cut back gas consumption by 10%. If people were asked to sacrifice, I think they would do it. As a relative optimist, I truly believe that if people thought it would help the nation get through this crisis, they would drive less. All it takes is the right leadership, which we so sorely lack these days.

Love the thought, but expect to hear something more like.  "well we've seen the catastrophe of Katrina, the best way to support our American brothers and sisters is to go about our normal way of life, and not to curtail spending or trips that we planned on taking [please PLEASE do NOT stop spending!].  The US economy is strong, despite this calamity.  We have the SPR, but at this time we will not be tapping into it. [for fear that oil prices will rise further, and it will cost more to refill it.]"

I haven't heard one breathe of conservation out of this administration, I think that they will spin it into the need to push ahead with ANWR more quickly, or something like that, despite the obvious solution that you proposed.

Exactly, ask people to just keep spending until they go bankrupt! Insane logic. The economy is dependent on consumer spending and consumers will need to drive to spend! Consume more in a time of short supply. Churchill would be disgusted.
that attitude ... Please keep spending... is wrong on so many levels that I can't even decide where I want to start my rebuttal so I think I'll pass.

It is not the patriotic duty of citizens to spend themselves into oblivion.

Always, always, always remember how critical timing is in assessing the elasticity of demand.

As we saw in the early 1980's, many people in the US made sizable adjustments--they traded in large American cars for diesel VW Rabbits, car pooled, etc.  But that level of change took some time.  

Our current situation could resolve itself before consumers have a chance to respond beyond minor adjustments.  If we're lucky and the damage from Katrina isn't as bad as feared, then we have to be careful not to misjudge the adaptability of consumers.

This lag in consumer response is partially due to economic reasons--most people don't have the resources to instantly trade in a car for something more fuel efficient, etc.  But it's also due to psychological factors, as people need to be convinced that the higher prices will last long enough to justify making significant changes.

If Katrina isn't as bad as feared - if the energy infrastructure gets off lightly, crude prices will tank for a while as traders guess that the odds of a second catastrophic level event this year now go way down.

If energy starts to head lower consumers will do their bit and start buying big cars again with a vengence, given the sales continuing to be offered.

no doubt it will all contribute to a perfect storm at some later point.