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86 comments on Economides: $100/bbl oil and $20/McF NG before the year is out...
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86 comments on Economides: $100/bbl oil and $20/McF NG before the year is out...
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GAIA Host Collective
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/NG/M
Monthly chart - NG futures (that chart is behind the times it doesn't show the september bar but serves the purpose)
That chart is what we call a 'breakout'. In the early days following a breakout, there is always risk that price fails to hold, and the resulting reversal creates significant selling pressure on the market or commodity.
The thing is... that break out happened last month and its holding up rather well so far.
Looking at shorter time frame charts, I do not, at this time, see such an event happening. Even if price does reverse significantly and soon, the first thing most energy traders will be expecting to see is for support to hold above 10$.
Long before 10 becomes even a remote possibility this fall/winter, first there are a number of key levels where traders will expect support to hold before price will even have a chance of retreating to 10$, as I noted in another comment thread here this evening.