There's an interesting effect when everyone starts paying more for fuel. Most people would say that this is inflationary, because businesses have to pass along their increased costs. But I've also seen analysts say it is deflationary: because people are spending so much on gas and heating, they have less to spend on other areas, so businesses can't raise prices.

I know most people around here don't care for economics, but it is interesting to know that economically, expensive energy is neither inflationary nor deflationary. Instead, it causes rather complicated changes in the price of items. Generally, everything in the economy has a certain percentage of its costs associated with energy. Some things have a relatively low percentage of their cost being due to energy, like, say, hand-made quilts. Other things have a high percentage due to energy costs, like airline tickets. What will happen when energy increases in price, if the money supply stays roughly constant, is that high-energy-percentage items will get more expensive, while low-energy-percentage items get less expensive. Items that use exactly the average amount of energy as a percentage of costs will not change in price.

It's not always obvious to the non-expert which items use more or less energy than average to make. But this is what will determine whether the prices for those items rise or fall.

This is why we see these contrasting analyses, some predicting inflation and some predicting deflation. It depends on which kinds of goods and services the analyst is focusing on.

Unfortunately for me, just about everything in construction requires energy to ship and install.  Even moving the soil requires heavy equipment.  I have found that high energy costs scare clients into either canceling construction projects outright, or putting them on indefinite hold.  

Back in the 1900s, someone told me that hard times were good for restaurants, because folks would go out more to cheer themselves up.  I'm working now and I can't afford to eat out.

You're neglecting that the lady making the hand-made quilts lives in a house made out of concrete, long-hauled timber, steel, etc, drives a 1985 Buick with lots of embodied energy and which gets 18 to the gallon, etc, etc. If she doesn't charge more for her quilting labor, she's going to have to cut back on her lifestyle. She will charge more if she has pricing power (eg after some other quiltmakers go out of business), and otherwise her sector will just contract until it does have pricing power and can then join the inflationary trend.