256 comments on DrumBeat: November 12, 2006
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256 comments on DrumBeat: November 12, 2006
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I am not an Civil Engineer [but instead a fearful fast-crash doomer], so the following essay
may have merit, or be totally assinine and unpractical. Most experts discounted my earlier idea for using billions of steelies for Petawatt energy storage and generation. Thus, I will leave it up to those with greater expertise to determine the validity and cost-effectiveness of my next set of wild ideas. Perhaps it will stimulate in some clever inventor's mind an even better solution.I don't think any TODers dispute the fact of future food relocalization as the primary source of our postPeak nutrition. I also believe that potable water will be an extremely valuable resource, and waste from leaks will be totally unacceptable. The first two articles in this EnergyBulletin link are excellent examples, and most experts think Global Warming will make H2O even more precious in the future. Additionally, from the response generated from my prior postings: I detected a huge social reluctance to giving up flush toilets for humanure recycling. Thus, I present for your
Cornucopian Consideration:Energetic Optimization by Combo Fast-tracking our postPeak Spiderwebs!
I am all in favor of TODer AlanfromBigEasy's proposals, but RRs and mass-transit will have limited reach into the permaculture countryside--
the heavy steel wheel on a thick rail spiderweb with electrification just will not go everywhere desired. The tonnage moved generates very high PSI load factors on the rails.Yet many TODers have posted on how most roads will crumble to postPeak dust from lack of energy, heavy equipment, asphalt, and concrete to do meaningful repairs. Recall my earlier posting where 4 Mexicans died in a shootout over filling a pothole. So, using the precautionary principle: we should assume most roads will return to dirt, and mud when it rains. This can be very abrasive and jarring to future PHEV's electro-mechanical innards, and bicycling in the mud is very inefficient.
Additionally, it occurred to me that rubber tires will be extremely expensive postPeak, or even unobtainable. Recall my much earlier posting on how bicycles were among the leading inflationary items in Zimbabwe. I bet bicycle tires are very expensive there, too. Most of us are familiar with flats from thorns, and the human energy input required to overcome the rolling resistance of rubber tires, too. It won't be any easier if your bicycle is laden-down with 100lbs of permaculture produce that you are trying to get back to the urban market either.
Thus, we should expect our milgov, if they are on the ball, to require a small factory in every US town to relocalize bicycle tire manufacturing until even petrol for this is no longer possible. Currently, I believe nearly all bicycle tires are made overseas, but postPeak China will probably reclassify this industry as a military-strategic asset, thus shutting us off from resupply. Again, the precautionary principle should impell us to consider a better solution.
Keep reading TODers: I will shortly tie these thoughts all together!Additionally, if we are smart: we must consider the mind-boggling amounts of the future energy and materials required when we start to replace the millions of miles of our underground utilities' infrastructure spiderweb. For example, here in my neighborhood of the Asphalt Wonderland: water, sewage, electric, natgas, cable, and phone service is all located underground.
When energy, pipeline materials, and water was cheap, this was a logical decision. Using heavy equipment fueled by cheap gas & diesel: it was EXTREMELY EASY for trenchers, backhoes, bulldozers, and dumptrucks to move billions of tons of dirt. Big, long haul truckers and lifting cranes had no problem loading and delivering millions of tons of pipeline materials all across the country. Energy-intensive concrete and asphalt, no problem when you have giant shovels, rock-crushing machines, vibratory-screen rock & sand sorters, and concrete mixers.
But that was then [the front side of the Hubbert upslope].What do we do now that energy, pipeline materials, and water will be very expensive?
Never forget that a barrel of crude = 25,000 hard physical man-hours of labor.Can we find an easy way to quickly and easily maintain any pipeline and likewise detect a wasteful leak?Can we economically afford to dedicate that many people to hand-digging up, replacing our aging infrastructure spiderwebs, then reshoveling the dirt back, when I think most of us will already be engaged in daily permaculture labor? Can we even find enough people willing to do this back-breaking work, or will it take slaves @ gunpoint? I think most of us would prefer weeding a tomato patch vs wielding a pick & shovel all day! Can we find a partial solution to dirt roads as we remake our towns into walkable & mass-transit dense clusters? Can we find a way to ride bicycles and drive PHEVs without postPeak rubber tires?
Perhaps we can, if my wild-ass ideas that tie these aforementioned problems all together has any engineering practicality!
Keep reading please!Just as a railroad has a standard gauge--I propose we move much of our replacement pipelines above ground as required, and establish special, reinforced gauges that are conducive to both the material transported within and the bikes or PHEVs on steel wheels that can ride atop them.
This eliminates the postPeak: hand-digging; allows easy leak-detection of water, gas, sewage, etc; simplifies maintainence & repairs & further extensions; and many or most crumbling roads can be converted to these combo pipeline-railbeds outside of the remade mass-transit towns and cities to provide the tracks for bicycles and PHEVs.Please use your vivid imaginations for a few minutes and picture, in its spiderweb totality, what enormous networks lie underground in your location. Most will 'mentally unearth'
parallel tracks of freshwater and sewage linesthat intersect at the paved intersections where the manhole covers hide their underground presence. Move those pipes aboveground 'for real', make them extra thick & strong, then weld a thin rail on top of each as a track for bicycle or PHEVs.Thus a postPeak town would be largely laid out in a linear, or maybe x-y axis fashion, with the high trackbed PSI gauge RRs & mass-trans on this critical 'spine'. Then the next gauge of reduced PSI
PHEV track-pipesbranching out as the 'ribs' to the innermost permaculture boundaries. The PHEVs could be very light because no suspension system is needed for handling potholes [trackbed is very smooth], and minimal rolling resistance means a smaller motor is needed. Then, the field-workers make the next transition to the smaller, final parallelBike track-pipesthat continue outward into the permaculture and ranching hinterlands as far as economically feasible.Depending upon the optimum town layout configuration, but still using a standardized gauge: the track-pipes could be all outgoing sewer pipes headed to the sewage treatment plant, leaching fields and/or composting areas, but the workers would be actually riding the spiderweb just as a real spider does in nature. IMO, this is much more efficient than the workers commuting in a vehicle over the same route of the pipeline just underneath them--
you have tremendously reduced most of required dual infrastructure investment and maintenance!Workers headed to a refinery, brewery, or biofuel plant might be riding atop track-pipes containing the raw inputs [water, or biomass-slurry, or outgoing track-pipes of ethanol, or biodiesel, even beer?.
) But again, the workers would be actually riding the spiderweb just as a real spider does in nature.Obviously, care must be taken so that water and sewage pipes are not joined together--paint the pipes different colors!If appropriate health and safety standards can be met: workers could even commute atop track-pipes carrying electricity from windmills, thermal & standard PV gen plants, nuke plants, and so on. =The main point is if standardized gauges can be set, it doesn't matter what is being transferred in the pipes.
Even if economic conditions shift whereby eventually nothing is transported in a section of track-pipe, but the rider route is still deemed essential-- this is still cheaper, and more energy efficient than trying to build a postPeak road.
Okay TODers, I hope I tickled your synapses. I welcome any critiques, but most of all: I hope someone has an even better multi-networked infrastructure with a lower cost-basis. But remember: clever spiders use their single webs for food-gathering and storage, water-collection by dewdrops, and area transport.
Maybe we should become Spiderwomen & Spidermen too!Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Starting a blog at Blogger or a similar site is very easy. If you can post here, you'll have no problem blogging.
Someone (in the thread about the future of TOD) made a suggestion about a diary system simliar to www.dailykos.com (or www.redstate.com).
If someone like totoneila wants to post a diary, he can. If its of enough quality it'll get promoted to a recomended list, If not it'll just filter off the recently posted list. You could comment on diaries individualy (keeping topics seperate).
Main articles would of course get the main page and the attention they deserve.
Seems inclusive. Why encourage posters to start a seperate blog when they can contribute to TOD?
Modderation would be a seperate issue though (I don't think dkos's moderation system would be a good fit here).
Just a thought about TOD 3.0
That might be something to consider down the road, but we don't have the ability to do it now. I'm not sure we'd want to, either. Why reinvent the wheel? There are many very good, and free, blogging sites out there. Why do we have to do the hosting ourselves?
We already have a blogroll. Having a "recommended" list of on the side bar would be cool, but I don't see any reason we should do the hosting.
I thought it was mostly an issue of which software package to migrate too.
There are several (I believe) such packages that support diary systems.
But maybe this is thinking about the issue backwards.
What systems are in consideration for TOD 3.0?
Perhaps it would be easier to comment on them?
But there's more to consider than just the software. There's bandwidth, and hosting space. Someone is going to have to buy the computers to store all the blogs (if we go that route), and pay for the bandwidth.
And to tell you the truth, I really don't like the way dKos works. It's impossible these days.
Doesn't Scoop explicitly support diaries as one of its main features?
But I think you're overestimating things on how TOD w/ diaries would compare to TOD. Dkos is the way it is because it's the center of the liberal blogosphere - diaries are its trademark, and everyone with a wellknown blog in that broad circle is obliged to have one. It doesn't translate to our userbase.
dKos does not allow you to upload images, for example. No doubt for bandwidth reasons. Blogger does. Heck, dKos now blocks even linking to images, except from a short list of image hosting services.
Thxs for responding. I did start a blog back in March, but I think something is wrong with the setup, and I gave up trying to figure it out. I think it is online, but I never got any visitors or comments.
http://arehumanssmarterthanyeast.blogspot.com/
I was up last night composing that Spider post brainstorm--so I gotta get some shuteye soon--back later. If it is off-topic or too long, feel free to delete. I apologize, but I am not a computer guru like many here.
Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
It looks really good to me. I love that template.
Don't expect to get visitors or comments right away. It takes awhile to build an audience. And you have to promote your blog. Also known as "blogwhoring." Put the URL in your message board and e-mail sigs. Post links and excerpts here when you've posted something new. Post comments to related blogs; people will click on your name and follow it back to your blog.
You also have to update regularly, or your audience will wander away. One thing you might consider is posting selected articles from that Yahoogroup you're always quoting from. (Get permission from the original author, if required.) It's hard to find stuff on Yahoogroups. If you post a few gems (properly credited, of course), you could bring attention to stuff most of won't ever see otherwise. You'd also be able to post the URL of the blog entry later, if you wanted to refer someone to it. You'd be creating your own archives, so to speak. Even if no one comments, it will be useful.
In the other thread (about the future of TOD), some were asking for a software-enforced length limit. Rather than do that, I would just ask people to exercise some self-restraint. It's just basic etiquette. You don't hog the bandwidth at someone else's blog.
"In the other thread (about the future of TOD), some were asking for a software-enforced length limit."
The length issue is of some interest to me. Does regular line text actually consume that much bandwidth? This is one reason I will give links to photos for example, rather than trying to insert the photo into the post...because I know that graphics and photos do consume more bandwidth and memory.
On the other hand, I love TOD because it is not a "sound bite" site. The comments boards after news stories on Yahoo and others seem to bring out the screamers who have one sentence of sarcasm, but no real discussion. That is one reason I came to TOD, because the depth of commentary is deeper and more involved, which of course, takes a few more lines of writing (and a bit more effort of thought!)
I just posted a long post on the "Declaration of Independence" story for example. There were only 12 posts when I got there, and the story had been up for 12 hours, so I didn't feel that I would "use up" the bandwidth by going a bit long.....and it is all line text, no photos or graphics. The other issue is that if I post twelve different times at a paragraph each, I am using as much space as one 12 paragraph post, am I not?
This all brings back what is for me a growing sense of disappointment in the internet as a tool for exchange of information and discussion. Only a few years ago, we were promised an age in which graphics, still and motion pictures, music, and voice discussion would soon be available to all. Instead, we are finding that an old fashioned letter by mail is much more efficient for communication, and that "bandwidth" is becoming a jealously protected commodity. The internet, like radio and television before it, is becoming nothing more than a giant bilboard for folks peddling junk (I can't help but notice that the sponsers and advertisers always seem to have bandwidth to put up flashing moving graphics on every site :-(
Television was once called "a vast wasteland". The internet improves on that, by being a "vast interactive wasteland".
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
No. I was using word in its figurative sense, not the literal technical term.
People get upset when there's a huge long comment high up in a new thread. It's sort of the blog equivalent of hogging the conversation at a party.
dKos handled this for awhile by "windowing" long comments. If your comment was too long, only the top few lines would show, in a little window. People had to scroll to see the rest.
TOD would IMO, just not be the same without Totoneila's wild and crazy ideas expressed in Drum Beats.
I repeat what I said earlier in the Heretical Topic debate.
Those who don't wish to read the PO offbeat text can just decide to not click on Drum Beats. This is a choice.
Wild and crazy ideas. All this is needed for combating the effects of PO. Riding steel pipes? Who would have thought?
As to the roads self destructing? Without major traffic on them how will they deteriorate? Granted asphalt will crumble eventually with extreme weather but concrete should last a long time. Myself I can remember railroad maintenance vehicles that were propelled by pumping handlebars. Now I see this has changed to pickups with a set of rails. There are several here in town who use these and work for the railroads. They just pull a lever after straddling the rails and with the rear wheels lightly touching the rails go flying right down the tracks.
As a kid in the country we all played on the tracks and trestles. We sometimes hopped on the trains as they moved slowly by and hitched a ride. Rails used to be a familiar part of our country side. Without train traffic those rails should last for an enormous time and might become a viable means of travel to far off places, maybe with a sail or spinnaker set out or a mule pulling it along.
airdale
This probably owes much to winter, trees, and rain, three items scarce and not well-understood in some parts of the country, such as much of California and all of the desert Southwest.
Winter causes frost heaving, which in just a decade or two can cause misalignments sufficient to regularly pinch-flat low-drag bicycle tires, and eventually breaks up the slabs. Growing tree roots lift up the slabs, misaligning, tilting, and then breaking them. And rain in sloped areas eventually undermines the roadbed, again shifting, misaligning, and eventually breaking up the slabs. Streets paralleling contours eventually become quite tilted, and have to be dug out and redone. (IIRC some interpretations of the Disability Act require sidewalks to be dug out and redone if the sideways tilt is a barely detectable 2%, which can be attained in just a few years.)
But they are still being used in the south and west, where it's warmer and drier.
And it looked like they were putting in PCC pavements. I guess it could have been that new white asphalt, but I could swear I saw them putting rebar in.
BTW...quit being so smart and observant when catching my mistakes. At other times...go ahead.
I can ride over turf, gravel, and through slush and snow on the city streets.
Changing our habitual thinking about how we move around every day is one of the biggest challenges we face. Biking takes more time and energy, and we sweat more when we travel actively.
Workbikes, trikes, quads, electric assist, motorcycles and small vehicles can significantly expand our options, but right now we design our lives around the car and petroleum, upon which we depend for all that we recieve.
I can remember when the interstate hwy system started and was being built. Even with huge amounts of traffic I didn't see any replacement being done for many many years. I know for I drove I-70 and I-55 in St. Louis to downtown and back to the burbs for over 25 yrs. Each work day.
I didn't see the deterations spoken of above. Trees? Nope. Rain? Designed for. Winter frost heave? Nope.
As to asphalt? Here heat is the big problem and huge trucks. A person installs an asphalt driveway he can expect very good performance with minimal maintenance IF it is laid correctly.
If its a cheap shoddy job then its worthless. Same with concrete. Had to be on superior fill and not something just hauled in, thrown down and compacted a few times.
Besides how will it deteriotate if no vehicles are using it due to the absence of fuel to run them with?
The blacktop past my farm has been there for 5 yrs , when a new layer was last placed. Its in fine shape still. Its a state road as well.
The northeast with its problems? Yes I agee to that situation. Frankly though I intend to stay just where I am.
BTW as a youth we rode a team and wagon to town. The roads were gravel. When vehicles came along we just drove on the gravel roads. In my county the gravel roads were replaced only about 10 yrs ago(in total but yet a few gravel roads still exist). 25 yrs ago all the county back roads were still gravel and we ran a road grader down them ocassionally.
Worked then just fine.
When driving just the other day to an auction I went thru some Amish country where they use a lot of horse and buggies. I came up behind one just walking his single mare along at a slow pace. He and his family were in no particuliar hurry. A few Amish boys were walking not far ahead. This reminded me of my childhood and how we walked behind the wagon to town for the once Saturday 'trade day'. Its was nice, pleasant and a good outing with exercise thrown in. Seeing friends and neighbors and passing the time to chat.
Those days disappeared in fumes of burnt oil, skid marks and mans great hurry to go somewhere in a big ass hurry.
I do miss it. I wonder if I will see it again?
I suggest that someone looking for an alternate skillset might consider harness making. Buggy building. Raising draft horses. Mules,etc.
The Amish have all these skills and more. Living around them shows one that selfsustained living is truly possible.
Many do not have telephone. Many do not have electricity. Many use a horse and buggy and put up corn and hay by hand and with a wagon and team , the old timey ways.
airdale
excellent point about the Amish. I've often wondered why there's all this talk about how a sustainable community might work- as if there were no such community extant today. The strictest Amish sects are still doin' it like the world was 300 years ago before fossil fuels. Why re-invent the wheel?
Perhaps most unsustainable is their rapid population growth rate.
They have lived for 300 years, on the edge of their world, bit by bit, tick by tock they seap into ours and we into theirs. The idea is not that they are not, or we are not, but that we both together are.
Think about that first get back to me if I am wrong.
Charles E. Owens Jr.
Author at Large aka Dan Ur
A large bear of a man, flexible and fit, just like the bear he is.
I think each assortment can make their own rules depending on the leadership of each.
I also believe Ky has had a large influx because they wearied of Pennsylvania and we leave them alone here. We mostly respect their culture and let them abide by their ways.
If you want so work done you will find that the Amish and Mennonites will do very high quality work and will never cheat you. They will not work tobacco though.
I have never seen them smoke or chew , though they may when not in public. I see them everyday and they always are plentiful at auctions. Most buy old unused horse drawn farm equipment and repair it to new condition.
They do not speak much with the rest of us. Seem rather shy but they do not foster an arrogant or egotistical attitude at all. They are fine folks IMO who wish to go their own way and be allowed to without a lot of interference. In Ky they seem to fine a good atmosphere. At least in the western and central parts that I know well and travel thru. Union county in Ky. has some of the ones who I observed putting up corn the old fashioned way and plowing with teams.
In my opinion they seem to have a patriarchial form of self rule.The women are extremely quiet and unobstrusive. Long skirts and bonnets just like my granny wore.
Never see them driving at night. They try to get home before it gets dark. They never drive on major roads that I have seen if they can avoid them.
They are not anti-technology per se. Rather, they consider how technology will affect the community.
For example, they want to keep separate from the rest of the world, so most refuse to be connected to the grid. But they can use diesel-powered generators. They can't have phones in the house, but they can have them in sheds outside the house, where they are inconvenient to use, and where no one will hear incoming calls.
The reason some communities allow tractors as long as they are attached to a horse is to prevent greed. They don't want a farmer to be tempted to buy up all the land and outcompete his neighbors.
In cases where technology is needed - someone is too disabled to plow the old-fashioned way, for instance - it is encouraged.
lmao at your choice of name for your blog!
I do not understand why the creators of TOD do not put a limit on the number of characters that can be printed in a single post. This way if someone has a lot to say, they have to create something with a link to it. This would eliminate a large staff trying to figure out what to do to a post. Go to any greeting card sight and you can see what I mean.
I have said this before;
One other thing that I find disturbing here is that you establish a forum heading but then list a lot of links to other topics under that listing. Instead of just calling it DrumBeat, add, (and related news stories,) then allow your members to post comments to a story that they feel needs further discussion under a new forum listing. Only post news stories that you intend to be discussed here at the TOD.
The creators of TOD are encouraging 334 posts to a single DrumBeat by doing this.
Shake-speare
"Brevity is the soul of wit."
Shake-speare
Well, at least I now know why bumper stickers are often so funny! :-)
Roger Conner known to you as ThatsItImout
See what you have been doing : causing euro banknotes to disintegrate...
Now, I can think of many shortcomings to the way you have designed your spider-network, but I think the whole idea of looking at dual purposes for our existing infrastructure will be a necessity.
I am not sure we will have the resources to put all underground pipeline above ground, but your idea transportation devices along predetermined routes is feasible and worth pursuing, especially if the entire network is electrified.
If I have time today, I will search for some links that I remember reading in the past that deal with "linked" transportation pods that could fit into your spider-network.
Cities put water, sewer and gas lines below ground before the age of oil. The gaslights of London and New York were fuelled via pipes dug with hand labor; it made sense to do it then, and it still does. But we wouldn't have to go back to shovels and picks. Today, we could easily use electric machinery instead of diesel for most anything in urban areas.
As a result, there would be lots of people around with no jobs. It would probably make sense to put all those people to work doing something useful. You can build roads and dig ditches with hand labor.
Idle hands do the devil's work.
Thxs for all your inputs, both pro & con, but I cannot respond to everyone.
It is too bad I don't know how to do Cad/Cam as a few pictures would express my ideas much more clearly and vastly shorten my posts. I think it would also create much more discussion by the experts. Such is life, but I think I, and most others, will be unable to afford the WWW in a few more years--food and other essentials will take primacy. I will miss it greatly, but hope the Milgov will archive the vital info in TOD.
The Hirsch update of fifteen favored detritovore states and SuperNafta seems to point towards efforts of building the initial primary postPeak 'spine'. Perhaps Hirsch & Bedznek will include some of my spiderweb ideas into the buildout of the 'ribs'. It seems obvious to me the advantage of progressively smaller, but standardized gauges of steel wheels on pipeline rails extending out to the permaculture boundaries. Even two parallel 6-inch greywater irrigation pipes could easily support and provide a very smooth railbed for a 3-wheeled pedal bike. Link to google images of various railbikes. The basic wild-ass idea is to 'kill two birds or more with one stone' by combining all networks into a single steel web that would be very long-lasting and easy to maintain.
I think most Americans are horrified at the thought of pedaling everywhere through the mud and snow. If my idea has merit, then people might be more willing to paradigm shift to build smooth & easy transportation. Just Cornucopian dreaming to help suppress my doomer nightmares of the Global Hutu-Tutsi Machete' Dance that seems much more likely with each passing day.
Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
Minor tid-bit.
It seems one can make rubber from alcohol. So not 'un-obtainable, per say. Just not at the price we are used to.
with organic chem you can almost make anything form anything. However here in brazil rubber grows on trees...er or in them anyway. Synthetic rubber was created in wartime because natural rubber was strategically cut off. I think it was cheaper after that because of oil. Plant rubber trees.
matt
if it comes down to having to distill ethanol from beets to make rubber, will you want to drink the ethanol or eat the beets? I don't believe it will ever get so bad that railroads and boats can't ship raw rubber much cheaper than it would be to start from scratch (ethanol) to make rubber. The amount of biodiesel or ethanol used to transport (by rail or ship) large volumes of rubber would be a more economical use.
besides if we burn all our coal then you will be able to plant rubber trees in iowa.
matt
The histroy of rubber plantations is not one of shining moments for 'the west'.
The whole 'businessmen behaving badly' meme has been a contributing factor to world issues. If we're gonna go changing things, requesting a model that doesn't cause issues is a good plan.
Oh really?
Humans have engaged in trade even before agriculture began.
In rubber for transportation use? In rubber for hose?
Wow. Amazing.
Humans will continue to engage in trade so long as humans exist.
So will models that envolve violence and expliotation. Ignoring such is a blinding bias on people who would deny such. You are not blind are you?
To assume the form of that trade must take one and only one form is absurd, especially in a post-peak world.
Trade also requires willing parties. It is a short sighted bias to assume the model of the last 50 years of trade will continue, or of the last 100. Who is to say there will be willing partners based on past actions of one of the trading partners?
It seems that we are still dependent on rubber trees for rubber - I'd read long ago that the Germans, in WWII, had made an artificial rubber called Buna and got along with that, and I kinda thought rubber from rubber trees had gone the way of the buggy whip. Well, so, I did all this reading on rubber not long ago, and turns out those crafty Germans were probably rounding up every possible rubber glove and set of galoshes etc., for their Buna, and in the US, as I write, car tires are still a large proportion natural rubber. Military tires and racecar tires are all natural rubber.
Now does it become more clear why we occupied Vietnam? It was for those rubber trees.
I could actually do without coffee from the tropics but without rubber from the tropics, we'll have to do without a lot of the things that characterize modern industrial civilization.
Channeling a song I used to sing:
http://web.cecs.pdx.edu/~trent/ochs/lyrics/draft-dodger-rag.html
The version I sang from had a line "I gotta water my rubber tree plant" - like it was tacked on.
"Now does it become more clear why we occupied Vietnam? It was for those rubber trees."
Tell me that you don't really believe this.Please.
If you do then I suggest you start posting with your tinfoil and eggsalad hat firmly atop your cranium.
he never took the hat off.
matt
He's like a real-life Super Hero. OR and OC are gonna work on gettin' the American public footage of our feats later on, but you must trust for now- We're working for the CIA(Queda's our main objective - except for Maria, man, I can NEVER stop thinking about that, uggh, yeah, you know what I'm sayin')
Airdale was just some dude that was probably a commie...Yeah, she said she loved me. She said...
A couple of things. First, I used to manage a synthetic rubber production plant. These babies don't lend themselves to local production of the raw latex. And, turning the latex into compounded rubber isn't a local process either.
Realistically I think people are going to have to make do. It is possible that almost all tires would be recaps. But even this involves a lot of shipping energy plus the energy for the recap.
Second, you assume people will be going to some kind of job. I think this is unlikely in a collapse scenario. Granted there will be some who work but I doubt that most will be actually traveling to a job...they'll either be home producing their own food or at some kind of work camp.
Boondocks areas like mine will depopulate so there will be little road wear from traffic but the roads will deteriorate probably going back in quality to the way they were in the 20s - unpaved mucky things - where people only went to "town" once a month at most.
Todd: a Realist
Thxs for responding. You are probably correct in your assumptions as I too am of the 'realist' mindset when future projecting.
IMO, the standardization of much steel pipe can have many benefits. For example, we build large vertical grain silos to store seeds until truck or rail transport is energetically used to move these goods to the urban areas. Why not store it in these standardized horizontal pipelines, and use compressed air from windturbines to blow it to the markets? As an added plus you might have ground and sifted flour coming out the receiving end. Your family could easily pedal or PHEV into town on top of this horizontal silo vs slogging through the mud, dirt, and snow.
I am not a farmer or pipeline engineer so there may be a good reason why this was never tried before. Obviously, fresh strawberries would have to be pedaled in, unless the urbanites wanted huge quantities of strawberry jam. =) LOL!
Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?
On the bottom of each silo is a rotatable arm that is used to stir the grain. A blower is attached to each silo in order to blow air in from the bottom and remove moisture thereby. The bottom has an open type of mesh IIRC so this air can flow.
To remove grain you hook a pto from a tractor to a long auger and run an electrical motor at the bottom of the silo which also augers out the grain from the interior bottom of the silo.
Not real complex entities as I usually spend some time repairing the motor circuits for them quite often. Simple ag engineering is what they are.
Its very important to store the grain at just the right moisture. Also to not let it stay stored for long periods such that insect damage can occur.
But without electricity then storing grain gets a bit dicey.
For corn its ok for you just store it on the ear after you remove the husk. We stored that in just corn cribs in the barn and kept lots of cats around to control the mice and rats. Snakes were very helpful as well. I still keep some snakes in my barn to this day or allow them to take up residence. I never never kill a snake, even if its a copperhead. Water mocassins I do not like but abide around water. Rattlers don't live around here.
Basically we wont' have to worry about soybeans. Just wheat and corn. Maybe barley and rye. If you have work animals then you must feed them corn with high protein. You can't feed them just hay since there is not enough energy in it to work them all day.
Nothing better to eat than a good steak from a corn fed home raised steer or homemade sausage. We have forgotten what real food tastes like due to the highly processed products we get from the WallyWorlds or whatever.
I could go on and on but well...its really off topic.
30s,40s timeframe there were sufficient small towns and local stores(general stores) that one could walk to them if desired.
Walking was just as fast as riding there in a team and wagon. We never trotted the horses/mules. We just let them walk along. It might have taken 1 1/2 hours from my uncles to the county seat. We traded butter,eggs,and sometimes fryers for flour and salt and a few other items. This was always on a Saturday for Sunday was a day of rest. Monday - Friday was work days.
So as kids we would walk to the nearest store, get a sack of Bull Durham and a soft 'drank' and spend maybe 20 cents.
It was that simple.
Before that a man would sometimes drive to various farms trading chickens and eggs for staples. No money changed hands usually.
Sometimes a trader with a pack peddling Watkins products would walk up. We were 6 miles from the county seat. He would only take money for he didn't want to be packing chickens off. So Watkins stuff was what we had for medicine. That and that alone.
Many road were also dirt. Like private lanes. They became very rutted and worn down over time. You finally hitched a team of mules to a scraper of some sort and smoothed them out. Some were so rutted that only a team and wagon could drive on them. Later modelTs and As with lots of clearance could do the trick.
What was it like? Exactly like the 'Shire' as depicted in the Tolkien novels and movies.
You have to see this on "What can be hauled on a bike"
(have you ever seen a person on a bike carring a CAR Body?)
http://aistigave.hit.bg/Logistics/
Truck? We don't need no stinking truck!
John
(I think you have some great pragmatic ideas Alan.)
http://www10.nanotechcafe.com/nbc/articles/view_article.php?section=CorpNews&articleid=318151
In a controlled static environment a home could save created sporatic renewable generation for use later with a battery bank that is good for multiple decades.
This could be the answer the we are looking for the PV/Wind field.
Geoff PHX
http://www.theoildrum.com/comments/2006/11/5/82022/3874/173#173
I would invest in the battery guy.
Whatever happens, DON'T invest in Altair (ALTI). This scam started back in 1996 on one of the Canadian exchanges. They claimed to have developed a revolutionary centrifugal jig for mining and billion dollars worth of unmined titanium gravels at the Camden property in Tennessee. DuPont had previously walked away from it.
The stock went from pennies to $16, as crooks like Mark Skousen shouted BUY at the top of his lungs. Skousen and the CEO sold shares as quickly as they could mint them at the very peak of around $16.50.
The stock dropped to less than a dollar, changed names and symbols, and went into the swimming pool algicide business. A name change later, they came out with Renasorb, a pharmaceutical "product" with $0 sales. Morphed two years ago into Altair Nanotech or something, and were busily developing fictitious nano products. Now setting their sights on the battery market.
Every boiler shop has received stock shares from them at some point...can't believe these scheisters aren't in jail. The original CEO, Willliam Long, retired years ago. Prior to Altair, he headed up a gold mining outfit that grossed $0 revenues in over 20 years of trying.
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=22959041
There is a company that is going to be installing these new batteries in their vehicles. I need to get over to CA and see how the testing bank is performing in real world conditions.
I appreciate the heads up on the shady life of this company in years gone by. Time for more DD
Cheers
Geoff PHX
If you throw them in the dump they don't leave a permanent splotch of toxic contamination. And I believe long life will be a -very- important attribute post-peak, outweighing the superhigh charge/discharge rates and power densities of more exotic brews.
Unfortunately this Edisonian invention is not made in the USA any more. They may still be made in China, however.
Just thoughts but there are places people need to go that water and sewage don't. How often do you go to the resevoir or treatment plant? People like to go to parks and rivers and beaches.
Also pipelines are engineered to transport fluid. The welds and supports would need to be more extensive and more expensive. We would be much better off using the "web" of roads we have now with a set of tracks laid down in the left lane of the interstate. Also you have hundreds of thousand of prisoners in the US get the guy with the sunglasses from cool hand luke to put them to work.
matt
Don't forget the contribution from recycling. Today we mine our cities for copper. Huge copper telephone lines, all underground, are replaced with fiber optic lines the size of a pencil. The copper is then recycled into industry. The same with steel, aluminum, etc. So we shouldn't run out of any basic metals. Space is another way to minimize material use. A communications satellite in space replaces thousands of microwave relay towers on earth. Plastic coke bottles are currently recycled very effectively. They can probably be made into effective bicycle tires that can be recycled forever.
Other ideas for roads that are currently being practiced: Giant road machines chew up the asphalt, add some binders to it, and then relay new road out the back. Concrete gets ground up, mixed with a slurry, and is relaid as new concrete. Both methods use minimal energy compared to new roads. When Henry Ford came out with the Model T there were only dirt roads. It did very well. We can build cars that will do just as well in the future.
Yes, all these ideas require machines and oil, but compared to our current waste, are very thrifty. We can easily maintain such a society for 1000 years. But, of course, it requires vast social changes that we are probably not up to (but I continue to hope).
re-cycling is neither 100% efficient nor produces the exact quality of material that you started with.
it would be far more efficient and more cost effective later to cannibalize infrastructure in poor areas to keep the rich areas going.
Those concrete "cracking and seating" operations don't really turn old concrete into new. They crush the old concrete and turn into a base material. A gravel substitute, not a concrete substitute. New pavement materials are laid on top of it.
also come to think of it wouldn't recycling a plastic bottle 3 or 4 times end up using more energy then making a new one?
A better question is: Do one recycling everything included cost more or less then making a new bottle?
The paradox of the device is this.
You have to have water to have water.
pour the nasty water in a pan.
blow cold air, or any air over it. sort of what is in the cold air vaporizers.
The windows are dripping in moisture and my cat is gathering it on her fur as she going up to the window.
Due to the fact that the dew can be collected in this matter we have never ever had a problem in certain regions in the past of drinking.
Google the past and dew collection devices.
Great ideas, I have to bow my head tot he GOD of the Pipe dreams.
The water along with from dew is from the rain from above, a few years ago I collect about 450 gallons of water from just 2 big rains, I literally had run out of starage space and was watering my plants for years after ward with that water, I had so much I even threw some out back into the system recently.
Got to think out of the box.
WWW.dan-ur.blogspot.com
Charles E. Owens Jr.
I think you are on the right track :)
I was also actually think about "beyond rail" one thing that really stood out is that canals have great efficiency and could replace a lot of rail potentially for heavy loads.
If you look out say 100 years or more even electric steel rail train systems are not the best answer. River travel of course basically lasts forever along with canals.
Its funny you mention utilities since on thing I though of was that a generally raised canal system also provides above ground routes for the utilities.
Whats important is that people start thinking like your thinking. What will we do when we need to replace utilities.
Your right above ground is the solution.
Finally another thing we need to consider and its important is when your building structures to endure for 100's of years they need to look good. Aesthetics should not be discounted.
I'm wondering what we could do with stone today with our more advanced technologies. It can be used to create beautiful structures. It lasts a very long time etc.
With our current engineering knowledge we might even be able to create long lasting rail/canal lines out of stone.
This solves to some extent the loss of our unified roads of today.
Here is a link to a stone railway.
http://www.catskillarchive.com/rrextra/abrw09.Html
At 38.5MJ/litre a 158.9litre barrel of oil contains 1.7MWhr of chemical energy but to compare like with like you need to compare either the mechanical work that can be extracted from that oil with the mechanical work that a man can do or the heat energy of the oil with the heat produced by the man while working hard.
Oil-fired power stations struggle to get 40% thermal efficiency, Internal combustion engines are less than half of that. Even neglecting all the other losses to get to useful mechanical work that is 680kWhr. Measurements made on professional cyclists show that in the centre of the pack (the 'peloton') they deliver 98W of mechanical work. To lead the pack, as they take turn to do, on on your own at the same speed requires 275W. In the Tour de France they keep this up for 6 or 7 hours a day for 20 days. At 100W that means that a barrel of oil is equivalent to 6,800 hours of hard cycling.
During such races they consume about 6500kCal of food per day, equivalent to 7.58kWhr of body heat and mechanical energy degrades to heat. If 80% of that is expended in the 6 hours of the race, The equivalent heat energy of the barrel of oil will be dissipated in 1682 hours of hard cycling.
So mass is not at all the massive problem people think it is at all. I can get all of my energy from plants in a given week. From my own yard. Granted its not the diet you all would like, its the fastest fast food I have ever gotten and it is so low on the hanging fruit section of the world that most of you just walk over it and don't even notice it.
I have to remember, I laugh at moss and grass, other people Only see green.
Is the Quip I posted just a few days ago on my Blog, At http://www.dan-ur.blogspot.com As this post here will get edited and posted there as soon as I hit post.
Charles E. Owens Jr.
Author at Large, aka Dan Ur
The bear, cat, eagle guy