I don't think you can take the Exxon result as an example of an overall world production surge. Their 3rd Qtr production of 2646 is only 3 % of total world production, and the increase was only 195 kbpd (about 0.2% increase relative to world production) higher than last year's hurricane-reduced number, and 140 k more than 2 yrs ago. Overall the world remains pretty flat.
To expand a bit on the above, Total was down 5.5%, Chevron was flat, and BP was flat qtr to qtr (due to hurricanes in 2005), but down about 1 1/2% the first 9 mos 2006 vs 1st 9 mos 2005.
According to latest EIA numbers August 06 was a new record total, surpassing December last year.  
December 2005 was 84787 kbpd (still down due to hurricanes), August 2006 was 85096 kbpd. A 0.4% increase of 409 kbpd. I'd hardly call that a surge over an 8 month period. I'm also sure it's well within measurement error, and the 8 month average for this year is still less than for last year.

Not trying to make any big point here other than there has been no surge in production, possibly no actual increase at all. We'll have to wait for revisions, and even then any increase or decrease will be almost negligible.

Make that 309 - oops.