Yes, I confirm that I am in the process of putting together a draft about historical (from about 1996 till about now) UK nat gas supplies with a look into the near future, towards 2010. As you are aware UK nat gas supplies are very complex and it is time-consuming to put together a good presentation from several open sources (among them DTI, BP statistical Review, Norwegian Official statistics and press releases from buyers and sellers of (Norwegian) nat gas) that can stand up to the verification of independent third parties.

I can tell you this much that the report describes a supply situation that mildly put will become ugly and stay this way (and has the potential to grow worse) for many years.

I sincerely hope to be proven wrong on this, but by following the UK nat gas supply situation for some time coupled with a strong professional background from nat gas logistics (among a lot of other professional exposures within the oil and gas operators) for several years have made me arrive to these dire conclusions.

Due to recent other higher prioritised activities, the progress on this for the last 4 - 5 weeks has been slow, but it now looks like I could have a draft ready by the next few days about this subject. (I think this is far more important to publish and initiate discussions on than the other post I am working on.)

The development in the UK nat gas supply situation will also affect Continental Europe from next summer (more details and reasoning in subject report) as UK for some years has been net exporter of nat gas to Continental Europe and Ireland.

Judging from the demand curves published on the National Grid web page and present storage level (4 000 million cubic meters) and that present flow into UK is running steady at 300 million cubic meters a day, it could be that storage facilities could be emptied by second half of February under normal weather (consumption) conditions.

You can make independent assessments and see for yourself what you arrive at.

I will forward you both a copy of this report (draft) and then you can evaluate if it's worthy to publish on TOD Europe.  

I will as earlier promises complete my post on development in net global oil exports and how the price increases redistributes the flow between OECD, China and ROW (Rest Of World) for posting on TOD. Truth is I have been kept quit busy for a while.

I was made aware that Chris Skrebowski had used (kindly and wisely) several of the diagrams developed by me for www.energikrise.blogspot.com in his presentation at the EI on Nov. 07.

A lot of people (I mean really a lot) are wondering about my true identity, and I have for some time, and will continue for the foreseeable future to use anonymity through the signature Energimann.

(Sorry if my English is a little slippery to day, truth is I am in a hurry to meet several friends for some well-deserved beers accompanied with some "Akevitt" chasers.)

Regards
Energimann

NGM2

By the way I could use a crash course on some HTML codes used for posting comments on TOD.