Wow. How could you get one of the most basic facts about this story completely wrong, in your Headline? Ottowa did not impose a retroactive tax. Existing Trusts have a four year grace period, until 2011.
I appreciate the coverage you are doing on the subject, and all the good info you provided. But your headline is flat out incorrect. Ouch.
Ottawa imposed taxation, albeit with a delay (as is covered in the article), on the existing trust sector. This is a retroactive change in taxation law that impacts adversely on trusts now despite the delay until the tax will actually be payable.
Failing to grandfather existing trusts and abolishing them in just 4 years is retroactive.
I bought a business model and future income streams when I bought three Canadian Hydro Income Trusts (Great Lakes, Innergex & Algonquin). The Tories had been elected on an explcit promise not to disrupt these. They have retroactively taken away the future income streams that I was promised.
I'm not defending the Tories on this, and I agree what they did is nasty and counter to your expectation of future income, but it is not retroactive! Retroactive means "taking effect from a date in the past". The change in taxation of existing trusts takes effect in the future. Past != future. It's not retroactive. Period.
Look, this sort of tinkering with the tax system happens all the time. There used to be a lifetime $100,000 capital gains exemption in Canada. It was repealed in 1994, just before I had a chance to use it. Annoying, yes, but not retroactive! (As I recall it wasn't retroactive, anyway. The point is that changing the rules may change what people expected to get and how they may have behaved in the past had they known what would happen, but that doesn't ipso facto make it a retroactive change).
(There is still a $500,000 capital gains exemption on the sale of "qualified small business corporation shares", I'm talking about an exemption that applied to any capital gain.)
It's very unusual to make new policies which suddenly alter market value of major, widely held investments by declaring their fundamental business model to be illegal.
For instance, if the Federal government suddenly declared all extant municipal bonds to be subject to tax, what would the reaction be.
It's very unusual to make new policies which suddenly alter market value of major, widely held investments [..]
Right. I'm with you.
[..] by declaring their fundamental business model to be illegal.
Ummm, perhaps we need to buy everyone here a dictionary. They did no such thing. I sure hope income trusts aren't "illegal", anyway, because I own units in a bunch of 'em.
Last time I checked, the value of ALL financial assets is, the present discounted value of EXPECTED future cash flows. You don't buy stock for past earnings, but for future earnings. The fomula is: PV = cf1/(1+r1) + cf2/(1+r2) +...+ cfn/(1 +rn)
where PV = present value
cf1 = cash flow received in period 1
r1 = risk free interest rate (ie Tbill rate for example) in period 1
In case anyone thinks this is a just a theoreretical exercise, let me tell you what happened to a prominent Canadian energy trust when word of the retroactive taxation hit the wires. The Enerplus Resources Trust closed at $54.30 per share on October 31, the last pre-announcement day. Two days later on November 2 it closed at $39. Similarly the PennWest Energy Trust closed at $37.52 pre announcement and $29.80 on November 2. Slashing expected future returns slashes current value.
While my point about slashing future value equals slashing current value still stands, I need to correct the formula quoted above.
PV = cf1/(1+r1) + cf2/(1+r2)*2 +...+ cfn/(1+rn)*n
where the double asterisks denote "raised to the power of." Thus the divisor of the second term to the right of the equal sign should read, (1+ r2), squared.
Slashing expected future returns slashes current value.
Yes, so? The same thing happens when the trust itself announces a cut in distributions. Is such an announcement "retroactive"? Of course not - it affects distributions in the future. The proposal to start taxing distributions in four years is also something that takes effect in the future.
Why is this concept so difficult to understand?
When you invest you accept a number of risks. I have been affected by the proposed changes to the tune of ... oh probably more money than anyone else who is whinging about it here. Yes, it's a bitch, but you can't say you weren't warned:
From Enerplus' March 7 2006 prospectus, page 2:
The actual amount distributed will depend on numerous factors including: the financial performance of the subsidiaries of the Fund, debt obligations,
commodity prices, production levels, working capital requirements, future capital requirements, applicable law and other factors beyond the control of the Fund.
(I added bold face to highlight critical words)
Or how about their 2005 annual report, page 86:
Government royalties, income tax laws, environmental laws and regulatory requirements can have a significant financial and operational impact on Enerplus. [..]
[..] In the January 2006 election, the Canadian Liberal government was replaced by a Conservative government. Both parties are on record as stating that they do not intend to change the tax treatment of trusts. Nevertheless, there is always a risk that the Canadian government may reconsider its position and propose changes to the tax regime that could negatively impact the Fund.
The assertion by the Canadian government that the US doesn't allow these structures is not true at all.
There is something in the US called a "master limited partnership" with the same flow-through income principle---you get a K-1 form attributing income and return of capital etc to the unitholders. These trade on US exchanges---you can buy production from, e.g. Prudhoe Bay (BPT), etc.
Perhaps the right message wasn't that the US and Australia had "banned" this trust structure (not really true) but that they might have been better to follow Canada and increase use of this.
The result was a class of investments which in practice were intermediate between bonds and common shares, and clearly filled a need.
Failing to grandfather existing trusts and abolishing them in just 4 years is retroactive.
Not by any normal definition of the word "retroactive" it isn't.
Enacting a tax means it applies to future revenue.
Enacting a retroactive tax means it applies to future and past revenue.
If the new tax was applied to income trusts starting in 2005, then it would be retroactive. It doesn't, so it isn't; it's just a normal tax, much like any other tax. It may or may not be a bad tax, but calling it "retroactive" seems like little more than misleading rhetorical hyperbole.
I have not argued that the tax is retroactive, but that the law itself is retroactive in its effects. This legal change wrong-foots previous investments made in good faith by invalidating the assumptions they were made under, not only with no warning but in the face of an explicit promise to the contrary. For investors who relied on this very specific commitment - and there are many of them - this change is retroactive.
No it bloody well isn't. Of course expectations of future cash flow are a part of current valuations. When conditions change the current valuation changes. The government's (proposed) changes affect current values, but they do not affect anything that happened in the past. They just don't. It is not retroactive.
Or perhaps when a trust announces a change in the distribution to be paid in the next month that is a "retroactive" change? When the prime interest rate changes that is a "retroactive" change applied to all bonds?
Whether the change was right or not is irrelevant to this question. The law is not "retroactive in its effects". Arguing it is, and placing such an absurd statement right in the title of the article, discredits it. If you can't see that, then... well, that is enough, I shall say no more.
The Canadian companies I invest in own hydroelectric dams on both sides of the border AND they continue to improve them and build and buy more. Algonquin recently built the first wind farm in Manitoba (99 MW). Great Lakes recently got a contract to build a 49.9 MW run-of-river hydro plant in BC in co-operation with a First Nation. etc.
So my investments in Canada helped expand the supply of renewable energy.
Exploitation ?
The alternative is to let the wind & water go past and burn more fossil fuels instead.
These hydro income trusts picked up a portfolio of "dogs & cats" that, in most cases, had been ignored by their prior owners or operated & maintained by non-professionals.
So pre-existing capital sources had not done a good job. What successor type will ?
Whoa, for a minute there I thought I popped up the site of the Republican National Committee by accident. Who'd have thunk we'd hear arguements against taxing oil companies on the Oil Drum?
The Canadian government had their hands forced by the fact that a major Canadian company (Bell Canada?, I forget) announced they were going to convert to a trust. And why not? Why pay more taxes than you have to. This would have been the start of a major loss of tax income for the government.
So they want to change the law, for everybody, with a 4 year grace period for existing trusts.
Oil is at $60, high enough to coax a lot of marginal production from old fields.
Seems a little incongruent to argue "Peak Oil is coming, oil prices are gonna skyrocket!" and, "Hey, you tax my oil trusts and the oil is gonna stop flowing."
Guys, he's saying it's a (retroactive (tax law)), not a ((retroactive tax) law).
The law itself is retroactive in that it applies to trusts set up in the past, not just to new trusts set up in the future. He's not saying that the tax is applied retroactively to past income.
So, every law enacted by every government in the world that affects existing people and legal entities is "retroactive"?
Puhleeease.
Yes, the Tories should not do the exact opposite of what they said they would do, but the government sets the laws, and can change those laws at any point. Tax laws change. Heck, I believe if you read the legal documents issued with the securities you will probably see this mentioned as one of the risks!
As others have pointed out below, it's most definitely a retroactive
change. The worst part about this whole mess is that it could have been
entirely avoided. The Canadian government has claimed they were focused on
future trust conversions. Full grandfathering of existing trusts, with
maybe some limitations on M&A activity would have been perfectly fine.
Instead, the government lashed out like some paranoid, cornered rat. There
is no nice way to describe what happened.
Rules were established on what was legal business and investment
relationships, and an additional pledge was made that such relationships would
not be changed. Granted, conditions change and sometimes governments need
to make policy changes. Fine. But if their claim that they were
worried about future trusts was true, a wide range of other options were available.
The finance minister even lied while attempting to justify his decision, noting
that it was just discovered that major oil and gas companies were thinking of converting
to the trust model. Encana admitted this month that in 2005 it submitted
to the finance ministry a proposal to convert into a trust. I
discussed some of these issues in an article I wrote about two weeks
ago:
During the last couple of weeks I've spoken with analysts and
executives. The overwhelming feedback I've found has been dismay and
frustration. To be perfectly blunt, I don't think the Canadian government
has a clue how much damage this will do to secondary recovery efforts in the oil
and gas industry. For a couple of years, we'll be going through a period
of capital constriction, and oil and gas production is going to fall.
It'll likely be a "temporary" problem because eventually, attractive
assets will be put into production within viable business organizations.
But the transition period is going to extend over a period of years and will be
anything but smooth.
It's really hard to try nail down estimates. Something like 20% of
Canada's oil and gas is produced by income trust companies, and much of this
production is focused on secondary recovery efforts ideally suited for the trust
business structure. Maybe we're looking at a situation where some ten
percent of this 20% figure will fall temporary victim to business organization
transition? I don't know. Time will tell. Other wrinkles are
clear as well. Many small E&P juniors could get seed funding and run
viable exploration efforts given the role trusts played as an "exit
strategy." Take the trusts away and part of the exploration ecosystem
is damaged. Large companies like Encana don't have time to deal with small
reserves and if the pool of ready buyers for the junior E&P market economy
shrinks, the net exploration activity will eventually shrink as well.
Many analysts make convincing arguments that trusts did not pose a threat to
net taxes receipts. Even in the business trust arena, a great deal of
productive economic enterprise blossomed as small and midsize companies were
able to tap the equity market for the first time through the trust model.
The finance ministry would like Canadian's to believe that Canada was at risk of
becoming an "income trust economy," and that productivity was going
straight down the toilet. That's hyperbole, at best.
I appreciate the coverage you are doing on the subject, and all the good info you provided. But your headline is flat out incorrect. Ouch.
Good luck.
Gregor
I bought a business model and future income streams when I bought three Canadian Hydro Income Trusts (Great Lakes, Innergex & Algonquin). The Tories had been elected on an explcit promise not to disrupt these. They have retroactively taken away the future income streams that I was promised.
Alan
Look, this sort of tinkering with the tax system happens all the time. There used to be a lifetime $100,000 capital gains exemption in Canada. It was repealed in 1994, just before I had a chance to use it. Annoying, yes, but not retroactive! (As I recall it wasn't retroactive, anyway. The point is that changing the rules may change what people expected to get and how they may have behaved in the past had they known what would happen, but that doesn't ipso facto make it a retroactive change).
(There is still a $500,000 capital gains exemption on the sale of "qualified small business corporation shares", I'm talking about an exemption that applied to any capital gain.)
For instance, if the Federal government suddenly declared all extant municipal bonds to be subject to tax, what would the reaction be.
Right. I'm with you.
Ummm, perhaps we need to buy everyone here a dictionary. They did no such thing. I sure hope income trusts aren't "illegal", anyway, because I own units in a bunch of 'em.
where PV = present value
cf1 = cash flow received in period 1
r1 = risk free interest rate (ie Tbill rate for example) in period 1
In case anyone thinks this is a just a theoreretical exercise, let me tell you what happened to a prominent Canadian energy trust when word of the retroactive taxation hit the wires. The Enerplus Resources Trust closed at $54.30 per share on October 31, the last pre-announcement day. Two days later on November 2 it closed at $39. Similarly the PennWest Energy Trust closed at $37.52 pre announcement and $29.80 on November 2. Slashing expected future returns slashes current value.
PV = cf1/(1+r1) + cf2/(1+r2)*2 +...+ cfn/(1+rn)*n
where the double asterisks denote "raised to the power of." Thus the divisor of the second term to the right of the equal sign should read, (1+ r2), squared.
Yes, so? The same thing happens when the trust itself announces a cut in distributions. Is such an announcement "retroactive"? Of course not - it affects distributions in the future. The proposal to start taxing distributions in four years is also something that takes effect in the future.
Why is this concept so difficult to understand?
When you invest you accept a number of risks. I have been affected by the proposed changes to the tune of ... oh probably more money than anyone else who is whinging about it here. Yes, it's a bitch, but you can't say you weren't warned:
From Enerplus' March 7 2006 prospectus, page 2:
(I added bold face to highlight critical words)
Or how about their 2005 annual report, page 86:
(I added bold face to highlight critical words)
The assertion by the Canadian government that the US doesn't allow these structures is not true at all.
There is something in the US called a "master limited partnership" with the same flow-through income principle---you get a K-1 form attributing income and return of capital etc to the unitholders. These trade on US exchanges---you can buy production from, e.g. Prudhoe Bay (BPT), etc.
Perhaps the right message wasn't that the US and Australia had "banned" this trust structure (not really true) but that they might have been better to follow Canada and increase use of this.
The result was a class of investments which in practice were intermediate between bonds and common shares, and clearly filled a need.
Not by any normal definition of the word "retroactive" it isn't.
Enacting a tax means it applies to future revenue.
Enacting a retroactive tax means it applies to future and past revenue.
If the new tax was applied to income trusts starting in 2005, then it would be retroactive. It doesn't, so it isn't; it's just a normal tax, much like any other tax. It may or may not be a bad tax, but calling it "retroactive" seems like little more than misleading rhetorical hyperbole.
"You keep on using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means."
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0093779/quotes
retroactive
adj
taking effect from a date in the past
No it bloody well isn't. Of course expectations of future cash flow are a part of current valuations. When conditions change the current valuation changes. The government's (proposed) changes affect current values, but they do not affect anything that happened in the past. They just don't. It is not retroactive.
Or perhaps when a trust announces a change in the distribution to be paid in the next month that is a "retroactive" change? When the prime interest rate changes that is a "retroactive" change applied to all bonds?
Whether the change was right or not is irrelevant to this question. The law is not "retroactive in its effects". Arguing it is, and placing such an absurd statement right in the title of the article, discredits it. If you can't see that, then... well, that is enough, I shall say no more.
So my investments in Canada helped expand the supply of renewable energy.
Exploitation ?
The alternative is to let the wind & water go past and burn more fossil fuels instead.
Alan
Or, alternatively, find another mechanism of capital formation.
These hydro income trusts picked up a portfolio of "dogs & cats" that, in most cases, had been ignored by their prior owners or operated & maintained by non-professionals.
So pre-existing capital sources had not done a good job. What successor type will ?
Alan
The Canadian government had their hands forced by the fact that a major Canadian company (Bell Canada?, I forget) announced they were going to convert to a trust. And why not? Why pay more taxes than you have to. This would have been the start of a major loss of tax income for the government.
So they want to change the law, for everybody, with a 4 year grace period for existing trusts.
Oil is at $60, high enough to coax a lot of marginal production from old fields.
Seems a little incongruent to argue "Peak Oil is coming, oil prices are gonna skyrocket!" and, "Hey, you tax my oil trusts and the oil is gonna stop flowing."
The law itself is retroactive in that it applies to trusts set up in the past, not just to new trusts set up in the future. He's not saying that the tax is applied retroactively to past income.
Puhleeease.
Yes, the Tories should not do the exact opposite of what they said they would do, but the government sets the laws, and can change those laws at any point. Tax laws change. Heck, I believe if you read the legal documents issued with the securities you will probably see this mentioned as one of the risks!
As others have pointed out below, it's most definitely a retroactive change. The worst part about this whole mess is that it could have been entirely avoided. The Canadian government has claimed they were focused on future trust conversions. Full grandfathering of existing trusts, with maybe some limitations on M&A activity would have been perfectly fine. Instead, the government lashed out like some paranoid, cornered rat. There is no nice way to describe what happened.
Rules were established on what was legal business and investment relationships, and an additional pledge was made that such relationships would not be changed. Granted, conditions change and sometimes governments need to make policy changes. Fine. But if their claim that they were worried about future trusts was true, a wide range of other options were available. The finance minister even lied while attempting to justify his decision, noting that it was just discovered that major oil and gas companies were thinking of converting to the trust model. Encana admitted this month that in 2005 it submitted to the finance ministry a proposal to convert into a trust. I discussed some of these issues in an article I wrote about two weeks ago:
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/2006/1104.html
During the last couple of weeks I've spoken with analysts and executives. The overwhelming feedback I've found has been dismay and frustration. To be perfectly blunt, I don't think the Canadian government has a clue how much damage this will do to secondary recovery efforts in the oil and gas industry. For a couple of years, we'll be going through a period of capital constriction, and oil and gas production is going to fall. It'll likely be a "temporary" problem because eventually, attractive assets will be put into production within viable business organizations. But the transition period is going to extend over a period of years and will be anything but smooth.
It's really hard to try nail down estimates. Something like 20% of Canada's oil and gas is produced by income trust companies, and much of this production is focused on secondary recovery efforts ideally suited for the trust business structure. Maybe we're looking at a situation where some ten percent of this 20% figure will fall temporary victim to business organization transition? I don't know. Time will tell. Other wrinkles are clear as well. Many small E&P juniors could get seed funding and run viable exploration efforts given the role trusts played as an "exit strategy." Take the trusts away and part of the exploration ecosystem is damaged. Large companies like Encana don't have time to deal with small reserves and if the pool of ready buyers for the junior E&P market economy shrinks, the net exploration activity will eventually shrink as well.
Many analysts make convincing arguments that trusts did not pose a threat to net taxes receipts. Even in the business trust arena, a great deal of productive economic enterprise blossomed as small and midsize companies were able to tap the equity market for the first time through the trust model. The finance ministry would like Canadian's to believe that Canada was at risk of becoming an "income trust economy," and that productivity was going straight down the toilet. That's hyperbole, at best.