Bob makes an important point that I have made before, which is the rising fortunes of the energy producers versus the declining fortunes of the energy consumers--especically past the various peaks.  Post-peak doesn't mean the end of new reserves.  It just means that we can't replace the large, old fields.  The problem is when the angry soccer moms start rioting at the gates of the mansions of the energy producers.  

I've thought for a long time that ExxonMobil is a bigger threat to the US oil and gas industry than is Nancy Pelosi--because ExxonMobil is out there promising "Trillions of Barrels" of remaining oil reserves, plus vast natural gas reserves.  When those alleged "reserves" don't show up as production, the public--and Congress--are going to be in a very ugly and vindictive mood.

Westexas:  I'm not sure that I can share your viewpoint that passing peak production increases the welfare of fossil energy producers (to whom, I believe you refer) vis a vis consumers.

For the producer, the important ratio is that between production cost and sale price (profit).  Declining EROEI, barring significant and cheap technological advance, implies rising cost of production.  Rising energy production costs do not lead to more disposable income among consumers (individuals, institutions, non-energy sector industry), but to less (in the aggregate) as economic activity shifts to energy production.

At the same time, government facing the loss of revenue from individuals and non-energy sector industry negatively affected by rising energy costs, will be looking to make up the difference.  Pelosi's position to which you referred yesterday is just one expression of this inevitable tendency.

NATE:  Thanks for the post and the links.  Just a small comment about residents of the Bulkley Valley.  They don't need natural gas for heating, etc., but can use wood.  The key is in the technology.  Hi-efficiency pellet and chip furnaces produce very few emissions.  The last time I was up in that country, in the 1970's, the bee-hive burner was common and air pollution often horrible.  I believe that the bee-hive burner is only an industrial relic today.  In fact, I suspect that if every houshold, business etc changed from gas to bio-mass air pollution levels could still be reduced, as long as through incentive or regulation the wood burners (fireplaces, inefficient stoves) currently in use were shutdown.

Currently, wood pellets are shipped from the Ridley Terminal in Prince Rupert by the container load.

There is also of course geo-exchange.

I agree with that - a good friend is engaging the populace their to switch over to clean burning efficient wood stoves. But most people still use NG. IF everyone switches in next 5-8 years then I agree with you. Right now if everyone burned wood it would be a problem.

By the way - the vast majority of pellets being made in BC (and now they have enormous capacity due to pine beetle killing of pine trees), goes to europe. I dont think many residents there use pellets - though it would seem to make sense to do so.

Net of taxes the pellet price here in Austria is higher than the heating oil price, with taxes it is about 80% of the cost of heating oil. The Austrian paper and lumber industry is resource constrained, a big reason for the wood pellet price increases over the last year. The new craze are heat pumps, at least in new homes with high insulating standards. The heating load  of a modern house  typically is less than 250 Watt per degree Kelvin. These miniscule loads make ovens or central heating with oil, gas  or wood pellets uneconomical. The electricity cost for a heat pump at the moment is about half the wood pellet cost for the season.
So what is the slope of the demand curve?  Doomers say is it flat.  Tilroilfoil and others say it is fairly steep.  I'd like to see a few graphs--probably sector by sector--putting some numbers on the impacts of price on quantity demanded.