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99 comments on Peak Oil and The Energy Utilization Chain (EUC)
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99 comments on Peak Oil and The Energy Utilization Chain (EUC)
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GAIA Host Collective
I think one of the points I was trying to make was that if the DDGS did not exist, cattle would be fed something else, something that would have its own energy content. So, the energy credit (if there really is one) should really be the energy content of the most likely alternative feed that the DDGS displaces, not the DDGS itself. This may or may not be the correct way of looking at it, but I've had a gut feel from the very start that something was a little dodgy about the DDGS credit.
I know very little about agriculture, but is it not also true that cattle can only tolerate a certain percentage of DDGS in their feed mix without suffering adverse effects? If so, then it would not be too hard to picture the market for DDGS getting saturated pretty quickly as more and more ethanol plants come on line.
You are probably right that at some point a large fraction of the DDGS will be burned just to recover some heat value from an otherwise next to worthless material.
The other big change coming is that companies will start extracting more of the corn oil from the DDG product (already happening at a few plants). This is positive in several ways. From what I understand, less energy is than required to dry the DDG, we pick up another high-value product stream (corn oil -- think biodiesel) and the resulting DDG product can be used for the pork and poultry industries, which so far have been unable to use much DDG at all.
Although there will be short term market issues due to the extremely rapid growth of the ethanol business, we will run out of land to grow corn long, long before we run out of a way to utilize the by-product.
I saw on a recent ag report that nationwide, cattle are not finishing out as well this past year. Do you have any theories about this? They mentioned drought conditions being one, and many people are jumping to the conclusion that its the DDG being fed. What are your thoughts on this?
There is raging debate in the industry about how much feeding DDG is responsible for what has been a significant decline in cattle grading over the last couple of years.
From our personal experience, I think DDG is a significant culprit, and we are investigating how to address the issue.
Very interesting.