The Oil Drum | A Debate on the Substance and Timing of the Peak of Oil Production and Consumption, Part I

226 comments on A Debate on the Substance and Timing of the Peak of Oil Production and Consumption, Part I

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westexas on December 4, 2006 - 12:12pm

Robert and I agreed to limit our comments on this topic to our posts.

However, I think that we should respond to questions regarding data sources, methodology and math. I would especially invite scrutiny of my math. I tried to double check everything, but there is always a good chance that I made a mistake somewhere.

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Robert Rapier on December 4, 2006 - 1:00pm

However, I think that we should respond to questions regarding data sources, methodology and math. I would especially invite scrutiny of my math. I tried to double check everything, but there is always a good chance that I made a mistake somewhere.

Yes, I agree with that. In fact, I have no problem with you answering any questions here. But I won't respond until I put my essay up. That way the discussion between us isn't smeared all over the place. I want to have one location where the main arguments reside.

As you say, I will work on my response and I should have it up a week from now, presuming someone doesn't claim priority next Monday.

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WeatherGlass on December 4, 2006 - 2:55pm

Given the lack of data transparency for Russian and KSA production data, what, briefly, is the basis for the assertion that they have passed 50% Qt?

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GreyZone on December 4, 2006 - 3:23pm

Russian and KSA production are easily available. The transparency issue is not about production but about reserves, technical field conditions, etc., that make judging future production problematic. And that is where the HL method fits in. It doesn't need that other data. It uses historical production data to help you draw a conclusion.

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226 comments on A Debate on the Substance and Timing of the Peak of Oil Production and Consumption, Part I

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