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190 comments on DrumBeat: December 3, 2006

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RickD on December 3, 2006 - 12:06pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
But, how do we ever have a geological peak without all of the other factors also affecting the production?

It seems to me that the peak could be caused by a voluntary reduction (plus other factors). Then when the time of the ramp up comes, the production increases, but it does not ever again exceed the peak caused by a multitude of factors (including geological).

I guess what I am trying to say, is that I believe the peak will be (or has been) reached and caused by a multitude of causes, with the geology just being one of the causes.

Rick

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Robert Rapier on December 3, 2006 - 12:10pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
I guess what I am trying to say, is that I believe the peak will be (or has been) reached and caused by a multitude of causes, with the geology just being one of the causes.

Right, but if those other factors happen in the abscence of a geological peak, then production may rise again. No doubt when the geological peak occurs, there will be areas with shut-in production. But unless you can get a production decline from the other factors that is not permanent if you aren't pushing up against "The Peak."

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doug fir on December 3, 2006 - 2:47pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Begins to look more and more like CERA's "undulating plateau"

Does anyone have access or a  larger summary of the Nature article on methane and hydropower?

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Leanan on December 3, 2006 - 5:47pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Drat.  It was free this morning.  Must have been one of those short-term deals.

Try going in via this link (at the bottom of the page).

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doug fir on December 3, 2006 - 6:43pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Thanks for posting the new link.

The gist of the layman's article is via the release of organic materials flooded by the dam.  Wonder how background, "normal" releases and loss of terrestial photosynthetic capacity were handled, also the aquatic reservior production of carbon lost to the sediments over time.  Interesting study potential.

Does not seem to address smaller scale hydro projects, either with penstocks or disbursed microhydro.  

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ET on December 3, 2006 - 10:58pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
C'mon Robert, we should know that there is absolutely no way to completely separate 'logistical' peak from 'geological' peak. Crude oil extraction is by definition a logistical excercise. IMO this is a completely false dichotomy.
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Robert Rapier on December 4, 2006 - 12:06am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
The point is that a logistical peak is not necessarily permanent.
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190 comments on DrumBeat: December 3, 2006

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