![]() | New Liberal Leader - First Green PM? | The Oil Drum | A Debate on the Substance and Timing of the Peak of Oil Production and Consumption, Part I | ![]() |
DrumBeat: December 4, 2006
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DrumBeat: December 4, 2006
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GAIA Host Collective
Total
Year (billion gallons)
WITHDRAWALS
1940 140
1950 180
1955 240
1960 270
1965 310
1970 370
1975 420
1980 440
1985 399
1990 408
1995 402
2000 408
Consumptive Use
1960 61
1965 77
1970 87
1975 96
1980 100
1985 92
1990 94
1995 100
2000 (NA)
This data is from the The 2006 Statistical Abstract published by the US Census Bureau, specifically the link marked as U.S. Water Withdrawals and Consumption Use Per Day by End-Use: 1940 to 2000. What it tells us is that overall withdrawals are down. That doesn't tell us why. It does tell us that consumption peaked in 1980, then went flat til 2000 where it matched its old peak. I have not found more current data on water consumption for the US, hence my interest in seeing your sources, Odograph. The US Census Bureau says consumption is up, not down. Withdrawals are down but that may be due to known aquifer problems. Per capita consumption is down (from that same document) but since population overall is up, that is a wash.
That article does cover a lot of territory, but I think it is worth reading in detail:
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/articles/061023fa_fact1
The fresh water situation in Sweden is overall very good. The only problem areas are mostly private wells close to the sea who can draw in saline water if they are overused. There is an old goal that all major water works should be fully redundant but that is moving forward as fast as a snail and will probably not be reached. Almost all water is "soft" and of good bottled water quality but people still buy more bottled water every year. The chlorination is most often small and some water works dont need it at all.
The only expectation about fresh water problems due to global warming is if lakes used as fresh water sources would overflow due to much larger rainfall and flood old contaminated areas and low lying sewage plants or sewage systems overflows. There are some official investigations of these risks included in the same studies investigating the risk for flooding. I expect that the problem areas slowly will be rebuilt over 10-20 years if nothing happens, faster we do get flooding.
A neighbouring small town Motala has had a fairly large reduction in water use but the cost for running the water works is nor sensitive to the flow giving a continous rise of the fees. This is probably the same thing as observed in Finland.
The cost for water in my own municipiality Linköping is about $0.7 per m3 of water and about $0.9 per m3 of waste water/sewage giving a cost for normal housholds of about $1.6 per m3 plus a fixed fee, $321 for a single house including drainage water from rainfall.
The only influence I expect from peak oil for the local water situation is declining bottled water sales and if we have a serious depression a decade long hiatus of water system maintainance. Practical exampels from seriously mismanaged municipialities is that these systems can limp along with almost no maintainance for 10-20 years withouth noticable change in water quality when the water source is a good one. They are thus sensitive to silent budget cuts but they are usualy not financed by taxation but run as municipiality owned monopolies making this less tempting.