Jeffrey, do you think the allocations by Saudi in east Asia support your net export decline theory, or is it just to damn early to tell?
"Jeffrey, do you think the allocations by Saudi in east Asia support your net export decline theory, or is it just to damn early to tell?"

I think that the reduced exports are not voluntary.  Based on the 2004 to 2005 increase in consumption (about 22% for KSA) and assuming that we see something similar for 2006, and based on the reported production decline, I estimate that KSA's net exports fell by about 13% from 12/05 to 12/06.