Hmmm. As Simmons says in "Twilight," when a field is first discovered, there is a great deal of work to be done: exploration wells, seismic work to delineate the extent of the field and estimate its productivity, and lots of other work before the drilling of production wells. The Saudis have had nearly 60 years of familiarity with Ghawar and its environs; presumably all these preliminaries had been long accomplished before ordering the final 21-month project that will put Haradh onstream.

Doesn't sound like ANY of this preliminary work has been accomplished at ANWR -- let alone the building of roads, pipelines, and whatever other infrastructure needed up there. Bottom line: I'm not qualified to say how many years it will take to get oil flowing to market from ANWR, but I'll bet it's significantly more time than 21 months. What say you, HO?

Ten years sounds a bit high but basically believable for ANWR. Aramco can move a lot faster because it's basically an agent of a sovereign state acting in its own territory. So none of that messy applying for permits for every little increment of the program. Plus the Saudi Eastern Province is easily accessible year-round, whereas in ANWR you're operating in a swamp in the summer and in a pitch-black Arctic hell in winter. Plus the ANWR coastal plain is a lot more environmentally complex than the Arabian desert, and contrary to what you may have heard, most oil companies DO take the time and effort to keep damage to a minimum; it's better for business in the long run.