Like this

As of 2004 it was down ~66% from peak. The prediction said 50% by 2005. Not bad, IMO.

Here is an overlap of a trace (red) of Mobjectivist's yellow dots (assumed to be actual production points) and the year 2000 prediction curve. Pretty close. (The yellow verticals are for aligning the year markers at 1980, 1990, 2000)