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69 comments on Will Unconventional Natural Gas Save Us?

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peakearl on March 10, 2006 - 2:41am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top
I am lame with this - wanted to copy the figure from the 2000 EIA AEO to compare with the current version posted above, but don''t know how to put in figures. You'll have to use the URL below. You can see the EIA view has changed dramatically, to say nothing of the fact that they expected prices to remain around $2.00 (1998 dollars) for decades. They really have no idea of what to project.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo00/images/figure_90.jpghttp://

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peakearl on March 10, 2006 - 2:42am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Oops, try this:

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo00/images/figure_90.jpg

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peakearl on March 10, 2006 - 2:43am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Would be nice to put the two figures side-by-side. Can anyone help explain how to do this easily?  Thanks.
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Dave Cohen on March 10, 2006 - 1:35pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

What this clearly shows is that the EIA is whistling a different tune now. In the years since they published this particular bit of fiction, they have acknowledged the rapid declines in conventional natural gas production and are now pinning their hopes on the supplies I describe in this post. Which is why I wrote it.

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peakearl on March 10, 2006 - 1:48pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Thanks for putting that up and especially for your article overall, which is very informative. Looking at their expectations in 2000 really just confirms what we have already known - that they only recognize problems after the fact. The conventional drop was being clearly predicted by Simmons at the time, totally rejected by the EIA, and was what got me interested in the topic originally.
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69 comments on Will Unconventional Natural Gas Save Us?

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