102 comments on You decide who's to blame
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GAIA Host Collective
Has any cultural group solved this practical problem at the present time, even on an intuitive level? One simple fact proves that none has: there is no prosperous population in the world today that has, and has had for some time, a growth rate of zero. Any people that has intuitively identified its optimum point will soon reach it, after which its growth rate becomes and remains zero.
Since today there are a number of countries with negative population growth, the above claim is no longer true (I admit there are holes in this claim, but I'm not going to elaborate). At some point the costs of having children became greater than their benefits. That's a qualitative change that was not an intended technological consequence. That gives me a few extra shreds of hope for the current energy dilemma.
For bonus points, perhaps, prove that the calculus making the cost of children greater than the benefit is reliant on cheap energy. heh.
The problem of population in high-energy societies is not a problem of excessive birth rates: Every single modern society has low birth rates, some of them 40% lower than that needed just to stabilize population. The problem that prosperous societies in the U.S. and Europe face is immigration from poor countries.
Neither Democrat nor Republican leaders have the guts to do what needs to be done, because both are captive to special-interest groups that favor large-scale immigration to the U.S. Note that this failure of democracy is a VBD (Very Big Deal), because even though a large majority of U.S. voters want immigration stopped (or greatly restricted), the people have been betrayed by their elected representives.
IMO, the leaderships of the Republican and Democratic parties are both morally and intellectually bankrupt. The major parties are broken and cannot be fixed, and hence the importance of creating a successful new party for the first time in a hundred and fifty years.