Agreed, which is why I approach it as described, versus coming out and saying "The sky is falling!" That makes you the freak. I let them come to that conclusion, which goes against what they have been lead to believe. Which then gives them pause, as if to say "Hey, even under my assumptions, which I thought were sound, we are heading off a cliff sooner than I imagined. What is going on?"

Once that bridge is crossed, you can much more freely talk about what to do about it. This is where it gets lively. I have managed to get most of my coworkers Peak Oil Aware, and some have really taken to it (cutting driving, lowering thermostats, installing a rainwater system in one case, etc).

Saying "no nothing" is extreme, and not what I believe. I am sorry if I lead you to believe I was predicting that. But it accurately underlines how dependendent on oil our current situation is (in western, and western-aspiring, societies). To a large extent, there is very little we are comfortable with today that will eventually have to be rethought (electric cars or what have you).

I have had some luck with going from the idea that each deposit of oil large or small starts under high pressure and diminishes over time making the oil ever more difficult to extract.  That seems logical to most people.
Then the notion that each nation is an aggregate of all of its small fields and thus its national production follows the same pattern.
Then, logically, the earth is the aggregate of the nations that produce oil.  
So it follows pretty well for many people that the easy oil under pressure that flows the fastest, is less viscous etc.. is the first produced. What follows is slower, harder, lower quality.  
With that understood as groundwork, the details of Saudi ala Simmons, Cantarell decline, North Sea, US peak, etc help locate us in the historical moment we're in.  
That has been my method anyway...
Matt, DC