One of the constraints on biodiesel will be the low penetration rate of diesel passenger vehicles in the North American market. For example, VW sold just 29,000 diesel powered cars in the USA last year. Diesels took just 3.2% of the US market last year. Contrast that with the situation in Europe, where more than half the new cars sold are diesels.

Diesels have been held back in North America by the high concentrations of sulfur in fuel. Sulfur poisons catalytic converters. Its oxides are corrosive and increase the concentrations of particulates (sooty smoke) in the exhaust. Diesel cars have been unable to meet the emissions standards in five states, including CA and NY.

The advent of low sulfur diesel this fall would have changed this situation, except that EPA continues to stack the deck against diesels in passenger cars. The upper limit of sulfur in diesel will be going from 500 ppm to 15 ppm, which would have opened the door to European engines and emissions control technology for the 2007 model year. However, EPA has mandated that diesel cars must meet the same emissions standards as passenger cars, beginning with the 2007 model year. Sounds fair, but it's a big technological problem.

Diesel engines typically return 25-40% better fuel economy than gasoline engines. One of the main reasons is the higher energy content of the fuel, mentioned by HO. The combustion process can normally be optimised to minimise NOx (oxides of nitrogen) or minimise unburned hydrocarbons, but it's inherently difficult to minimise them both at the same time. So diesel engines have evolved with particulate traps and catalytic converters to convert CO and partially burned hydrocarbons to CO2 and water. To meet EPA's 2007 standards, some system for reducing NOx to nitrogen needs to be added to the exhaust train, and that's a problem.

One approach is to add a sequential catalytic converter. However, such a system requires ammonia (urea) to be injected to reduce the NOx. A supply of ammonia must be carried on-board the car and EPA is, of course, concerned that owners will neglect to fill it.  AFAIK, EPA has not signed off these systems, which raises a worry for me as to the availability of new diesel-powered light passenger vehicles next year. It will be interesting to see which manufacturers can produce an emissions-compliant system.
 

However, EPA has mandated that diesel cars must meet the same emissions standards as passenger cars

Sorry, that should have been "the same emissions as gasoline-powered passenger cars.  I didn't mention light trucks, but the same standards apply.

The rules for ULSD are complicated - right now there is a June 1 deadline for refineries to deliver 80% of the on-road diesel as ULSD.  Whether or not they make the deadline we won't know until June, but they don't have long left.

I will say this much though.  From here:

ttp://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip_distillate.html


You can see ULSD production sharply increasing.  It is still only 10% of the LSD production however, but I would imagine that most refineries aren't going to switch to 100% until close to the deadline.

There are some complicated rules about who is supposed to have the ULSD when, and California is supposed to switch over at an accelerated pace:

http://www.clean-diesel.org/highway.html

and

http://www.clean-diesel.org/nonroad.html

You noted that diesels have a much higher percentage of the European market. I have little doubt about why. [Answer: the price of liquid fuels in Europe -- at some point in time markets & consumption patterns do respond to peristently higher prices.]

The problems with emissions may be real, but are probably going to be solved without a prohibitive cost in terms of either efficiency, up front vehicle cost or refining costs.

In my estimation, the issue with bio diesels will be whether the fuels can be produced at a reasonable cost without compromising the food supply.

In Europe, diesel used to be cheaper than gasoline, but now that gap is closing, now is just cents of euro cheaper. Also diesel cars tend to be a little bit more expensive, so traditionally diesel was the option for those who drive more than 20.000km a year. So now the options had been rebalancing a bit, because the number of diesel cars in the roads have increased enormously.
"One approach is to add a sequential catalytic converter. However, such a system requires ammonia (urea) to be injected to reduce the NOx. A supply of ammonia must be carried on-board the car and EPA is, of course, concerned that owners will neglect to fill it."

I think pissing on emissions equipment would appeal to a lot of people...