139 comments on DrumBeat: June 27, 2006
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139 comments on DrumBeat: June 27, 2006
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Things may look nice outside your window, but in terms of the European Union, times are generally good right now and we see:
- Truckers blockading ports and cities when gasoline prices get too high.
- Students rioting (and the government give in) when labor laws are changed.
- Sizeable minorities (Muslims, Turks) who are widely disaffected.
- Huge agricultural subsidies keeping those local farmers in business, and when those laws are threatened, they threaten to riot too.
- Several countries have already had their populations refuse to ratify articles of the European Union.
So clearly there's already some tension under the surface there. And yes, some of those things are also true of the US. But the US has the advantage of an American identity. When things get difficult, say a recession, do you think the Germans and the Italians are going to agree on interest rates?And notice - whenever worldwide markets decline, what goes up? US Treasury Bills. That says something, namely that there is still an underlying faith in the US.
I won't argue with you though that Europe in general has significantly better transit systems.
well, it is a problem of focus. I grew up in Fairfax County near Washinton, DC - if you think a neighborhood in Anacostia has anything to do with Fairfax, then you will see quickly how the averages paint a very different picture. The same is true of West Virginia compared to Northern Virginia. But Fairfax in the 70s was a very good place to live.
America has extremes which are pretty much unacceptable in a European context. And America has thrown away things which Europeans consider important to the long term.
And Europeans tend to want to keep what they have - what you see as social disorder (and which it is, at times) most people here see as standing up for their rights - and yes, they have a broader definition of 'rights' than being hired and fired as a privilege of participating in a free market where the rich are certainly getting richer, and the poor are to blame.
There are a number of ways of looking at the future, of course - personally, I prefer a place already living many of the suggestions Americans are still dimly aware of as a response to declining liquid fossil fuels. European societies existed long before fossil fuels, and they are likely to exist afterwards. The same is much harder to seriously suggest about the U.S.A.
Local agriculture, for example, is a social question, not a technological one. Technology is only a part of peak oil, though the one Americans tend to focus on it almost obsessively, either pro or con. How much farmland did the last couple of decades of suburban development cost the U.S.? And in a decade or two, do you think anyone will find that a good bargain - giving up farm fields for the hour commute to pay for the mortgage?
Europe has made different long term choices - we will see how they play out.