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193 comments on DrumBeat: July 15, 2006
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193 comments on DrumBeat: July 15, 2006
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Speculation now is that the fighting, especially against Hezbollah by Israel will last some weeks (2-3?).
I found it of interest that no land troops have entered Lebanon. All this is from the air, artillery based in Israel, or warships.
By the way, will CNN start calling it the Israeli Navy and sailors, not soldiers!
About the lack of land troops, I've read several times they are still activating reservists and maybe this is still the "softening up" phase... I guess we'll find out this week.
About CNN, I saw a short clip of theirs attempting to explain the conflict in the Middle East - it reminded me of why I quit watching television as well as why no one in my 3D world is the least bit aware of Peak Oil.
Yes, Israel was mobilizing some troops but this is not a full mobilization.
The Israeli goal is to have the Hezbollah Shiite population in southern Lebanon either moved from their mutual border or de-fanged by the Lebanese army, but I do not think this strategy will succeed.
- Lebanon in general and her army are too weak.
- Bringing further misery to so many is not a winning strategy.
I do not think the new leadership in Israel thought this out far enough. As my Grandpa used to say, "either get on the pot or off the pot." Either smash Syria and gut Iran, or do very little.There was a war in the 1700's obstentiably fought over a sailor's cut off ear. It was called the "War of Jenkin's ear." I wonder if this thing will grow much larger over the coming days/weeks because of the three Israeli POW's. . . .
One of a series of wars caused by colonial rivalries in the new world. The Spanish excluded English traders from their American colonies, leading to smuggling and resentment. In 1738, Captain Robert Jenkins appeared before Parliament with his ear, which he claimed had been cut off by the Spanish when they boarded his ship seven years earlier. War was declared in 1739, although the conflict was soon swallowed by the War of the Austrian Succession (1740-1748) and by 1743 the hostilies in America became part of King George's War (1744-1748). There were English attacks on Spanish colonies in the Caribbean in 1739 and 1740, and attacks of St. Augustune (Florida), then in Spanish hands, in 1740 and 1743, while the Spanish launched an attack on Georgia in 1743.
Just saw this over at the BBC (THE great right-wing site),
"As to where this is going: at the moment, Israel does not seem to be thinking about an exit strategy. I think Israel's calculation is that this is a sufficiently large crisis to prompt the international community to step in and get tough with Syria for its support of Hezbollah and to make the Lebanese Government accountable for actions that take place within its borders.
"I think we can expect a day or two more of the Israeli bombardment of Hezbollah targets inside Lebanon. The Israeli military justified today's bombing of Beirut airport because they said it was used freely to channel arms from Iran to Hezbollah. Despite pressure from hawkish elements in the Israeli military establishment, there is no plan at present to take military action against Syria."
I find the different takes on the situation in the media to be interesting... some seem so naive, some slanted towards someone's axe that needs grinding maybe, some see through the smoke screens.
I think Israel knows exactly what it is doing and it's the Syrians and Iranians who are surprised at how quickly the wolverine came outta his den when they poked it with a stick - and are now wondering which pawn to move next and when.
I think Israel is focused on the Iranians and Syrians while batting away the puppies. I think they are about as worried about the paper mache "government" in Lebanon as the Iranians and Syrians.
I have a feeling the Syrians and Iranians will make sure things escalate so they can use whatever "goodies" they got from North Korea and/or from Saddam's remaining stash of WMDs (the big surprises they promise ???).
I think the Witches of Persia know Peak Oil is upon us and so believe TimezUp. Those headf*cked freaks are on a Divine Mission for Allah.