Tate,

  The Kurds have place themselves with opportunity to take Kirkuk and it's oil fields.  The Sunni's feel like the ones left out in the cold (no oil) in the west.  But if they got their act together and listened to the posters here, they would probably be on the largest amount of "undiscovered" oil in the ME out there.  That is of course if it did not follow the pattern of the Empty Quarter.

In a partition of Iraq, the Kurds would probably take the town of Kirkuk and its oilfields. The Shiites would get the southern fields around Basra, and the Sunnis the northern fields around Mosul. I agree that Turkey would probably not let the Kurds export oil through their territory, so it would most likely pass to the south through Shia territory.

If Turkey came down hard on the Iraqi Kurds, they likely lose any chance to join the EU, although I am not sure how big a disincentive that would be for the Turks.