158 comments on DrumBeat: August 18, 2006
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158 comments on DrumBeat: August 18, 2006
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In a news release on July 18th, Kuwait's Oil Minister promised to clarify Kuwait's oil reserves within days. Well, days have turned into weeks, and now it has been one full month since that statement was released. What has caused this delay? I really do not know but I suspect it is because the news is not good and the release of that data might have serious consequences.
After all, if Kuwait really had 100 billion barrels of reserves, there would be no delay, only jubilation in the announcement. In several earlier releases, the newly elected opposition party, announced that, in order to preserve the oil for future generations, oil production should be limited to 1% of reserves. Well, current yearly production from Kuwait is, today, just under 1% of 100 billion barrels at .922 billion barrels per year. But if it were determined that Kuwait has only 50 billion barrels, then to stay at 1% per year of reserves, production would have to be cut by about 1.16 million barrels per day, almost in half. That would be devastating, if not to Kuwait's economy, it would be to the political future of the opposition party. It would mean that all the free dole and other goodies, handed out to the public, would be cut at least in half. Say goodbye to any politician that tried that trick.
But the controversy still rages. The latest news, just out today, can be found here:
http://www.kuwaittimes.net/localnews.asp?dismode=article&artid=125678638
Also, the lower number for Kuwait is supported by Stuart's HL analysis.
AME Info - Energy Oil and Gas
August 13, 2006
Kuwait's reserves queried again
Kuwait's parliament has again called for the government to reveal how much oil the country has in its reserves, reported the Kuwait Times. Speculation has continued for months that the country has 48bn barrels of oil in reserve, about half of the official figure of 99bn. Kuwait's new Energy Minister, Sheikh Ali Al Jarrah Al Sabah, who was appointed in July, has said that he will clarify the situation shortly.