<DrumBeat: August 7, 2006 The Oil Drum DrumBeat: August 8, 2006>

185 comments on Prudhoe Bay Open Thread and News Dump 2

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Darwinian on August 7, 2006 - 10:30pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
I am wearing a baseball cap, the tag inside it reads: "Made in Bangladesh." Bangladesh is one of the most densley populated places on earth and most of the city dwellers live by manufacturing exports, mostly clothing.

If you are looking for a safe place after the crash, Bangladesh would be one of the worse places you could possibly choose.

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shepseskaf on August 7, 2006 - 11:18pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I hear both of you. Bangladesh wouldn't be my choice either - I was just reporting what was said. I would tend to favor some of the less-densely populated Caribbean islands.

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Zanth on August 8, 2006 - 2:42am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Bangladesh is also a bad choice because the whole country is just a few feet above sea level.  If the oceans rise 20 feet then most of the country will be below sealevel and possibly underwater.  Ditto with most Caribbean islands.  Sorry to burst your bubble there, buddy :P

The best choices, IMO, are countries that still have large surpluses of oil and gas.  But they also run the risk of being invaded too, so it's a little give-and-take.

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shepseskaf on August 8, 2006 - 9:25am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Well, we have more than a few good estimates on when Peak Oil will occur (or when its already occurred), but are there any educated guesses as to when the oceans will rise 20' due to Global Warming? As I understand it, such an event isn't as imminent as Peak Oil, though I'm not as well informed on that subject.

I'll say this: if the oceans do rise 20', a lot more places than Bangladesh and the Caribbean islands will be in deep trouble. I guess we just have to pick our poisons. No place is going to be perfect in the coming collapse scenarios.

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odograph on August 8, 2006 - 2:03pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
I think the estimate used to be 20' over a century, but I don't keep up with this at all.  I do know there is a bunch of good stuff at the RealClimate site:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?s=sea+level&submit=Search

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shepseskaf on August 8, 2006 - 5:01pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I appreciate the link, odograph. That's a great source.

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Apuleius on August 8, 2006 - 12:58am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
Bangladesh is the world's source of burlap, whose value is already increasing (because of people who prefer biodegradable burlap), and which will increase more post peak-oil. So long as some world trade is going on, the Bengalis will have a piece of the action.

Also, Bengali Islamic jurisprudence has reconciled itself to the necessity of stabilizing the population (although our Wahabbi Saudi friends are hard at work undoing that..), so the local culture has at least some chance of organizing their society to a stable condition.

I'm still not eager to join them, but they do have some chance.

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185 comments on Prudhoe Bay Open Thread and News Dump 2

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