39 comments on Russian Gas Supplies next winter for Europe ?
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39 comments on Russian Gas Supplies next winter for Europe ?
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GAIA Host Collective
Too many people focus on high prices, which may come from watching too much TV and believing this is an education in economics and markets.
But if the price of oil is in a serious decline, let's say because of a soon to be impossible to ignore collapse in the world's largest debtor nation, then where are the funds for replacing some fairly worn out infrastructure to come from? Will the price essentially porpoise repeatedly, leading to even more massive disruptions? A fairly typical scenario from just a while ago, I recall.
I hate getting into the logistic/geologic peak oil side of the debate, but this is the sort of subtle exchange of opinions which has also tended to be in shorter supply over the last period. Price is just one measure, while what comes out of the pipeline another. And what comes out of the pipeline trumps everything else - just ask the British or Italians about their experiences last winter. The former Italian prime minister talking on TV about covering pots when cooking was something told to me by an Italian co-worker - and some people thought Carter was silly for wearing a sweater. But I think Berlusconi lost for different reasons then lecturing about energy conservation - his involvement in Iraq was not a plus in a country which could turn out millions of anti-war protesters, for example. Along with massive crony capitalism - except his only crony turned out to be himself in the end, an unpardonable sin.
I am as guilty as any of getting off topic, of course. Tempus culpa, or something - the dead hand of entropy is never far in a complex system. And yes, Leanan talks about more than simply energy issues - it makes her interesting.
Where does the information on UK house price falling come from?
Average price rise in the UK over 12 months to Aug 7.7 %. That is comfortably above the rate of inflation, and all areas with high volume of sales show increases.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/hi/in_depth/uk_house_prices/html/houses.stm
Apart from that, I entirely agree that the breadth of perspective given by the links to various stories from around the world is an enormous plus to the site - Leanan does an excellent job here.
'House prices in Britain rose 0.2% in July after two months of declines, to an average of $333,992 according to the Halifax Index, kept by mortgage lender HBOS.'
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.asp?Feed=BWK&Date=20060823&ID=5966 295
It seems as if the consensus opinion is that as long as the Bank of England leaves interest rates untouched, the price rises will continue or at least not decline. Which was certainly the case during late 2005, when the hissing from the bubble started to get a bit deafening.
Of course, the British experience in the early 1990s remains a wonderfully documented cautionary tale of how a real estate market can rise and fall in a natural rhythm.