As long as people like Michael Lynch, Daniel Yergin and CERA, EXXON-Mobile, and the USGS are telling people that the next fix will be in the spoon for the next 50 years then the addict is not going to be interested in quitting.  The addict will only consider quitting when the downside to doing the drug is greater than the upside and when the downside is relatively far away relative to the pain of withdrawal HE IS NOT GOING TO EVEN CONSIDER IT.  Sad but true.  Oil supply optimism could truely be considered irresponsible at this point.  
Re:  The "Iron Triangle" at work

Boone Pickens gave a speech in Dallas this week advocating a sharply higher gasoline tax, to bring our price of gasoline up to what Europe pays, offset by cuts to the Payroll Tax.  

The major media, as usual, completely ignored the speech.  The after the speech, the Dallas Morning News ran an interview with the former chief economist of ExxonMobil, in which she said she was amazed that oil prices haven't fallen yet.  She suggested that since development costs in the Middle East are only $5 per barrel, it is only a matter of time until oil prices fall sharply.  

My "Iron Trinagle" comments:

http://www.energybulletin.net/15126.html

There are many other industries that feed into the Iron Triangle you so aptly describe WT. For instance real estate is another huge commerical interest that loves cheap gas - they get to sell large inefficiently built suburban homes allow more room to put your oversized stuff which benefits Walmart and other discount retailers, etc...
Did Pickens say cut Payroll or Income taxes to compensate, or both ?   Either way, I'm with T Boone.  

However, if gas prices are lowered by reducing taxes wouldn't the market reaction be to increase consumption, and if supplies are really constrained, the price will just bounce right back up to equilibrium, right?  Only difference is that someone in the supply chain would be getting the extra money instead of the public coffers.

The best bad alternative might be price controls so that shortages develop.  That would really get people's attention.  I'm only half kidding.  

He suggested a cut to the Payroll Tax, which is highly regressive, levied on the first dollar of income.  
WesTexas; I love your iron triangle metaphor.

Might I suggest that the attitude you describe is so pervasive that it might be called an "iron curtain" of denial?

jim

Don't know where to post this....

http://www.livescience.com/environment/ap_060510_hydrogen_prize.html

What a waste of human capital!

God....I'm at a lose for words.  
Yes, a complete waste indeed.
Waste indeed.

It isn't just the prize money; it's the active encouragement of US engineering skills and investment capital being applied to a complete dead end.