I know things change, but the guy I heard this morning emphasised the "it's a big if this thing stays together" side of the equation.  Citing dry air and lots of shear ahead of the storm on it's current track.

We'll see.  

Oil companies are preparing to evacuate.

BP PLC, which is responsible for 2,500 employees and contractors working on offshore rigs and platforms, has in-house meteorologists tracking the storm and has begun assessing the amount of time it would take to evacuate various facilities.

BP spokesman Hugh Depland said one of the key factors behind any decisions about when to evacuate employees is whether the winds are light enough for helicopters to land on offshore rigs and platforms. "Helicopters that we have historically flown, they don't like to shut down if the wind is above 60 knots," Depland said.