At the end of August each year, the IEA updates the past 15 years' reports with all the latest revisions. I have not had time to check and see how big any revisions have been.

But I think that the numbers I focused on, and the conclusions drawn, should stand, i.e. that the biggest oil producers, and in particular those wit hte ability to increase production, are also substantially increasing their internal consumption, thus eating in their additiona lexport capacity, while those that are in decline are also seeing storng demand growth, thus compounding the need for more substitute exports).

Basically, demand growth is very strong, especially since the decline in the FSU stopped.

'Peak Oil Review' is in fact published by ASPO-USA. The editor is Tom Whittle, whose articles on peak oil in the Falls Church News-Press are often republished in the Energy Bulletin.

I also find it odd that Energy Bulletin is publishing a piece with Simmons in one half disparaging BP and in the second half all the data supporting claims is from BP.

While we're on the topic, i.e. off-topic:

The only good reason for disparaging BP is that they have in the past been overly conservative in their reserve estimates  -- they almost got as much stick from Odell et.al. as did Colin Campbell for initially predicting the peak to occur in 1989 (or thereabouts).

This is all very well explained in an excellent article by Roger Bentley titled 'Global Oil and Gas Depletion', which you will find here (PDF file).

Perhaps it is partly because they tend to rely on BP's definition that peak oil forecasters err by paying too little attention to the magnitude of the yet-to-find fraction. As everybody probably knows, BP defines 'proved reserves' as follows:

Proved reserves of oil- Generally taken to be those quantities that geological and engineering information indicates with reasonable certainty can be recovered in thefuture from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions. [my italics]

known reservoirs? No wonder peak oil analysts find it so difficult to accommodate discoveries such as Chevron's recent GOM mini-elephant.

Apologies for reinventing the wheel.