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75 comments on The forecasting record of CERA and other commentators

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Luis de Sousa on December 8, 2006 - 11:27am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top
... and will resign as an Oil Drum contributor.

There was once an engineer who said: "at the end of the race it doesn't matter if you win or lose, it's what you learn that counts".

I make mistakes all the time, so I hope you reconsider those words, acknowledging one's errors and learning from them is what matters. But then again 2 Mb/d....

therefore between the CERA1&2 forecasts and Merans2 is that the former project to UK oil self-sufficiency until 2010 whilst the latter points to rising imports.

On current growth rates CERA's forecasts can only maintain UK self-sufficient for no more than 5 or 6 years.

This is a great post Euan, and the due acknowledgments to Mr. Jackson for his collaboration.

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crobar on December 8, 2006 - 6:48pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top
In sympathy, if production reaches 2 Mbpd again I will eat my hat. This is no mean claim for a man living in Edinburgh with winter closing in.
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