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76 comments on China's liquid fuels future
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76 comments on China's liquid fuels future
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I suggested a Net Oil Export symposium for the ASPO USA meeting in Houston, and it looks like I need to start working on a paper on net exports for that meeting. I plan to dial up Khebab and see if he wants to do a collaboration.
I did express the opinion that exports are falling so fast that it may be obvious what the problem is by this fall, but CERA would probably still be calling it a "temporary" problem in any case, so I guess it's definitely worth talking about.
In the mean time, Luis might consider updating his excellent article on Net Oil Exports.
Very cool. Any chance you will post the paper online at TOD, or will you wait until after ASPO USA in Houston?
I don't know what their rules are. We'll see. But in any case, it won't be anything ground breaking--we will just have another year of data.
The primary point I would hope to get across is that declining oil export capacity is a permanent situation, not a "temporary inconvenience," but if the situation weren't so damn serious, it would be comical as Americans (and others) confront the reality of the impossibility of an infinite growth rate against a finite resource base.