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Speaking of dog legs, I see one in this post by Euan Mearns yesterday
http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/2283#comment-162318
Another case of HL producing a false alarm with the real peak following ~10 years later. If Saudi Arabia follows the same pattern it should begin its involutary decline around 2015.
now does that nice little post take into account the cooking of the books in the 80's where S.A.'s reserves doubled literally overnight with no physical proof of it?
this is something westexas's estimates using HL take this little fact into account and has been proven right so far.
Freddy weren't you banned?
Do you think no one notices your sockpupet?
At least learn to capitolize, that would make your posts a little different.
The change in inflection on the data set right before 1999 was the same pattern that we saw right before the Texas, Lower 48 and Saudi declines.
In any case, rather than arguing hypotheticals, why not argue actually predictions?
As Deffeyes predicted, world crude oil production is declining (EIA).
As I predicted, Saudi crude oil production is declining.
As Khebab predicted, Mexican crude oil production is declining.
What is really bizarre about this whole "debate" is the ongoing attacks on the HL method even as region after region start declining, as predicted.