<DrumBeat: March 29, 2007The Oil DrumGAO Peak Oil Report Thread>

120 comments on Financial Intelligence: How Arbitrage Forensics Provide Insight into Saudi Knowledge

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Flakmeister on March 29, 2007 - 9:03am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top

Excellent article...I have been wondering when there would be a guest post on the signals from the forward oil curve. The only thing that has stopped me from sinking $50,000 into long dated contracts (or better yet, options on those said contracts) has been the fear of the margin call on a short term spike down.

The curve is not in perfect contango, so there is still some arb. cap beyond 2009....

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tate423 on March 29, 2007 - 9:12am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

The floor was back at the beginning of the year and even now it can pop down to $60, but with spring/summer coming and the market moving down gradually, shit hitting the fan won't commence until next year. This year will simply be a painful pin prick.

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