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67 comments on GHAWAR: an estimate of remaining oil reserves and production decline (Part 1 - background and methodology)
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67 comments on GHAWAR: an estimate of remaining oil reserves and production decline (Part 1 - background and methodology)
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It's quite an impressive post that is matching the scale of Ghawar!
An executive summary would have been welcomed.
With possibly thousands of parameters impacting the result of this simulation, how likely is it that this particular result is meaningful?
At the end, you are estimating recovery factors but you are not giving reserve estimates despite the title. According to your analysis, how much is left in Ghawar? in part II?
Yes. But also it would be great if someone able to follow this debate could summarize the keys points for us mortals. It's frustrating to see such a debate, realizing its immense significance, and yet not really be able to understand the key points of difference.
Hello Davebygolly,
My suggestion is to download the Voelker Phd thesis or what I call the Voelker Motherlode, then read it without worrying about the math or other extreme detail. The pictures and graphs with the associated 'light' discussion will reveal alot of clarification in most reader's minds, IMO. I am on my third skim or surf thru this huge PDF, but I understand more each time.
SS, F_F, Euan, and any others with advanced reservoir extraction and production understanding will then pound out the key details for us mere amateurs. I sure hope SS has invited Joe Voelker to comment on TOD. A online discussion with Joe, SS, Euan, and F_F would be DYNAMITE!
Of course, don't overlook the previous TOD keyposts & comments that Euan has highlighted in his text topthread.
Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?