18gb left in 2004 for the whole field seems very pessimistic. One would have to assume pretty poor recoveries in the south to get that low, and although there's not that much data that's come to light, what data there is does not suggest grounds for that degree of pessimism.

Well Stuart,
All I can say is those figures are coming from people who are continually upgrading their work on the 910 or so giant oil fields and building on the work of Halbouty, Carmel, St John, Beydoun, Nehring and other highly distinguished geologists as well as the base of Petro Consultants
They also state that the whole Arabian Plate held 900 MMBOE. Beydoun states that 302 MMBO had been produced by 1997. When you take gas out of it and subsequent production, the whole Middle East may have less than we think

Without knowing technical details of how they produced their estimate, there's not much more I can say.

http://slashdot.org/firehose.pl

hit it if you are so inclined...search for Ghawar.

No stories were found that match your query.

Its still on page 1, between the two most recently posted stories. Set the filter colour to cyan to reject most of the junk.

[update between "Science: A detailed plan" and "Linux: The clueless newbie"]