 | GHAWAR: an estimate of remaining oil reserves and production decline (Part 2 - results) | The Oil Drum: Europe | Ghawar reserves update and revisions (1) |  |
21 comments on Russian gas and European energy security
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21 comments on Russian gas and European energy security
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expat...as always, I value your views.
Re Russia-China border...Not to be omitted for perspective, is that Russia unilalerally "annexed" a large part of "Siberia" that Chinese have not forgotten; namely, north and east of the Amur River, for example, by Muravioff [sp?] in 1800's. Simply a land/resource grab "because we can" and conveniently adopted by cartographers. Chinese do have a memory of history and their exploitation by acquisitive foreigners. In turn, there is Russian sensitivity to their own past being "projected" onto China.
I would love to discuss world political possibilities with you guys - does anyone have a risk board ready?
To think about:
Russian population is shrinking and (like much of the rest of the developed world) getting old. Right now there are about 145million. 2025: 128mil. Up to that time, the Chinese population will continue to grow, although the crest (or should I say peak?) will have been met around 2030 at about 1.5 billion. Birthrate has been very negative for a good while.
I've seen documentaries that many Chinese have already made the jump into Russian territory, turning the borderlands into a defacto Chinese province. China will hardly need to annex territory resulting from the excess population.
In order to secure RESOURCES on the other hand..
I'm sure you guys have read Clancy, right?, where the US and internet save the world (Russia's) butt from the expansion plans of a rotting Chinese political system. Don't think it'll happen, but I wouldn't doubt that there will be "tensions" once Russia becomes one of the last bastians where resources are to be had..
Now, if you were Russia, would you court a politically fractioned Europe or the Dragon to the South?
Cheers, Dom
---------------
My grandfather pumped oil with an engine-house,
my father pumped oil with a 20 lb. electric motor,
can't I just pump it online?