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303 comments on DrumBeat: May 9, 2007
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303 comments on DrumBeat: May 9, 2007
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GAIA Host Collective
Thanks for the tip.
Here's a link that's not behind a paywall:
Clarium Capital bets on rates to rise more
Today's FT had the above article. Obviously, not everyone is going to be a winner out of net loss of $1.5 trillion!
Do the Chinese have a Year of the Vulture in their calendar cycle?
Well, it's either going to go Thiel's way or "helicopter" Bernanke's way. If we had the answer we could afford to outbid the Bush family for their retreat in Paraguay.
Question is, are you willing to bet on the fed doing the right thing for the people of the US? Mr. Thiel seems excessively optimistic.
Speaking of Paraguay...
Hezbollah builds a Western base
Yeah, that tri-border area pretty much is like the Bermuda triangle, everything goes and no one has any real control.
The Argentine army going in there is like the LAPD going into south central, it can be done, theoretically. LOL.
The Hezbollah article is priceless. Washington is alarmed not because of terrorists going to the US from the Triple Frontier, but because they all bought property in the area themselves. Oh, and there's already a large Arab population there. Sounds like fun for everyone.
Why are they all so anxious? There is a very good reason to settle in the region: water. Meet the Guarani Aquifer.
And it gets better still, quote Wikipedia:
On the other hand the US is rapidly losing influence in Mercosur, they are not going to roll over and play dead.
The background info is there but these things are pretty fluid and some links are either recycled or outdated.
We live in interesting times.
The edge is getting sharper and we will fall off on one side or the other. I still think its a toss up.
History would point to "inflate or die" as the last gasp most societies take.
I take the position that the Fed is in a catch 22. raise interest raise to keep foriegn investment in US debt and stiffle domestic demand or cut rates to increase domestic consumption and loose foriegn investment. Screwed either way. I wonder if in the rear view mirror how close we were to cratering with Greenspan, and if now we are shooting over the top.
KSA and Opec are in a catch 22 as well. Tell the world oil is running out and start a panic or tell the world we don't feel like pumping oil, could cause some nasty problems as well. I see they are taking the course of blaming refineries. A very good move imo. But what are they going to do long term?
Eventualy both of these groups will have thier hands forced by circumstances beyond thier control.
May we live in interesting times....
Say, what's the deal on Paraguay, anyhow? Should we all be looking into it?
IMO you should look into an area along the lines of it, meaning really autonomous and under no ones direct control, or at least remote enough to be more then one tank of gas removed, but you need a knowledge on the lay of the land.
Most people would probably be better off playing the cards they know very well even if they are not the best cards.
Your typical urban US citizen would probably last about 24 hours there if he is lucky.