<DrumBeat: June 5, 2007 The Oil Drum DrumBeat: June 6, 2007>

230 comments on Cyclone Gonu Thread 3 (Last Updated 10pm EDT, 6/6)

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spudw on June 6, 2007 - 2:09am Permalink | Subthread | Comments top

Here in SoCal, a couple inches of rain in the San Bernardino mountains will trigger mudslides that wreak of havoc on the cities of San Bernardino and Highland. I believe we have much more vegetation than the mountains of eastern Oman. I can't imagine what is going on over there right now...

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Rembrandt on June 6, 2007 - 2:23am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Some information on Qalhat LNG near Sur which I overlooked yesterday (this thing will get hit badly). Appears that LNG from there is going mainly to Japan.

"Japanse companies will purchase a total of 23 mtpy of LNG from state-owned Qalhat LNG (SAOC): 700,000 tpy to Itochu Corp. for 20 years starting in 2006, 800,000 tpy to Osaka Gas Co. Ltd. for 17 years from 2009, and 800,000 tpy to Mitsubishi Corp. for 15 years, possibly extending to 20 years."

"The sultanate was expanding its LNG carrier fleet to transport increased production from Oman LNG's projeced third train at its Qalhat liquefaction terminal near Sur on the northeastern coast. Oman's total LNG production was 7.009 bcm (274.5 bcf) in April, up from 6.338 bcm (223.8 bcf) in 2003. Oman will charter a 138,000 cu m LNG carrier to join Sohar and Muscat, the other two carriers in the government's fleet"

Information is from the 2005 World Petroleum Encyclopedia.

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Rethin on June 6, 2007 - 2:33am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I just did a quick search of Japanese news sources for Oman and Typhoon.

Nothing.

Does this mean I'm taking cold showers this winter?

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Rembrandt on June 6, 2007 - 2:46am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

No, Japan imports lots of LNG, this will mean that prices will likely be higher temporarily. Since the port doesn't ship that much LNG it won't have a large impact.

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Rethin on June 6, 2007 - 3:02am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I just found this

gas

Looks like we get only a tiny bit of our gas from Oman. So no big deal to Japan.

It is interesting to note that Japan is by far (58%) the largest importer of LNG in the world at.

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BostonGeologist on June 6, 2007 - 3:00am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Rembrandt -- Your news source cites 2.3mt/y (23 in the quote, but the subtotals add to 2.3) from the Qualhat LNG plant; this represents about 5% of Japanese demand, if I recall correctly.

BTW, this is the setting for the plant:

!

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Rethin on June 6, 2007 - 3:10am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Found it in google earth

http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&q=Qalhat,+Oman&sll=37.0625,-95.677...

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totoneila on June 6, 2007 - 4:18am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Hello Rethin,

Not sure who is correct, but your overhead view and BostonGeologist's photo sure are different.

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BostonGeologist on June 6, 2007 - 4:24am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

totoneila,

They are both the same picture; my view just cuts off the southern facility and looks to the southwest. No funny business :)

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totoneila on June 6, 2007 - 4:39am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Hello BostonGeologist & Rethin,

Yep--you are right--once I zoomed out on Rethin's overhead. My apologies to both.

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totoneila on June 6, 2007 - 3:31am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Hello BostonGeologist,

Hell, from the picture: it looks like the whole damn thing is located in a floodplain. Does that mean it is getting hammered on Both Sides from hurricane surge and flashfloods? I bet the Insurance Company is freaking about now!

Bob Shaw in Phx,Az Are Humans Smarter than Yeast?

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InJapan on June 6, 2007 - 3:49am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Not just a flood plain, it looks like an alluvial wash. It is hard to imagine how it will look like once all the water recedes.

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wstephens on June 6, 2007 - 5:27am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

"This facility was build to the HIGHEST standards! There is nothing that can destroy it! Praise Allah!"

Ibn Gamblin Al Day
President, Qualhat Construction Corp.
Room #777
Casino Grande, Macao
(no calls please)

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InJapan on June 6, 2007 - 3:40am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

All of my hot water heaters (the small wall units) when I lived in Japan used propane gas (well, LPG which I assumed was usually propane). Are you sure your hot water heater uses NG/methane?

Nevertheless, this event demonstrates again how vulnerable Japan is, given that it imports nearly all of its energy sources, with a great share coming from the ME. Anything that happens in the ME thus is of interest to the Japanese, which explains why during Abe's recent tour of that area he was accompanied by a small army of Japanese corp. executives, a first.

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Rethin on June 6, 2007 - 3:54am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

I'm pretty sure its LNG. I'll have to check my gas bill when I get home now.

But I see a lot of houses with LPG cylinders outside them as well.

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daniel morris on June 6, 2007 - 11:18am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Could someone repost the map that shows where the LNG and Crude oil export terminals are. From the Bloomberg artical mentioned below, Mina Al Fihal seems to pump all of Oman's oil. Seems significant if it is out for 20 days.

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Prof. Goose on June 6, 2007 - 11:27am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Here's the Omani electrical infrastucture from earlier:

oman.

Efforting the other one. Where did it go?

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OuttaControl on June 6, 2007 - 1:16pm Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Comments top

Google maps?

MINA AL FAHL
http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&q=23.65,+58.5&ie=UTF8&t=h&om=1&ll=...

QALHAT
http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&q=22.68,+59.4&ie=UTF8&t=h&om=1&ll=...

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230 comments on Cyclone Gonu Thread 3 (Last Updated 10pm EDT, 6/6)

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