Why wheat shot up 30% in 3 weeks

Climate change, ethanol, increased demand from countries like China...

There was also the late freeze that devastated wheat. Things are looking very, very, bad. Another thing occured to me. Beer prices could skyrocket. Demand destruction among the nations working class could result in large numbers of angry sober poor. Beer is the Soma of the masses. Take it away and they might wake up in a bad mood. Beer Subsidies are necessary immediately. I think 35 billion gallons by 2017 would be just about right.

Peak Beer -- now THAT would get some people's attention!

Time to dig out that homebrew book. (You can make wine out of just about any organic matter! (Almost)).

Mmmm! Cellulosic wine! ;-)

Ok but if a plague of rust wipes out wheat can't we just plant more barley? Most low priced beers have no wheat in them. Rice Barley Water Hopps. Thats all (yeast, micronutrients etc)

The ingredients in beer are an extremly small portion of the price. Transportation packaging and marketing are the bulk.

I have been making my own beer for 11 years and it comes out to cost me around 20 cents per bottle and I make 96 bottles per batch. Tastes better than the swill at the grocery store too.

Beer is the Soma of the masses.

And this from someone whose entertainment income goes in large part for brown paper bags. ;>)

ethanol boycott?

While a boycott of ethanol might not be possible, the suggestion of one would at least help focus attention on this product. A product which is not only ineffective as a gasoline fuel replacement, but results in more world hunger and so political destabilization and a less secure oil supply. Pass the word? 'Boycott Ethanol !'

China, China, China.

China is the world's largest wheat producer, often nearly twice that of the nearest country, usually India.

Newer directives have shifted Chinese goals from self sufficiency down to self reliance in the early part of this decade. Goals of 100% down to 85-90%. So they are importing more, in a land where much of the crop remains ungraded, lowering their potential milling results.

Famine and feeding its populuation has historically been the set of brakes on China. With their push for industrialization, and the greater opportunities in city vs rural areas, many are leaving the farm. Coupled with desertification, industrial water demands, climate change, and a relatively slow infusion of technology and new methodology to the farm, you have to wonder if China's old nemisis won't soon return.

Try picking up a copy of this:

The Death of Grass.

Read it 30 years ago. Still sends shivers down my spine even now.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Death_Of_Grass

The Death Of Grass (UK title; the US title is No Blade Of Grass) is a 1956 post-apocalyptic science fiction novel written by the British author John Christopher. It deals with the concept of a virus that kills off all forms of grass.

As the story opens, the initial viral strain has already attacked rice crops in East Asia causing massive famine and a mutation has appeared which infects the staple crops of West Asia and Europe such as wheat and barley, threatening a famine engulfing the whole of the Old World, while Australasia and the Americas attempt to impose rigorous quarantine to exclude the virus.

The novel follows the trials and struggles of the narrator's family as they attempt to make their way across the United Kingdom, which is already descending into anarchy, to the safety of his brother's potato farm.

The book is unusually harsh in post-apocalyptic science fiction, with the main characters sacrificing many of their morals in order to stay alive. At one point, when their food supply runs out, they kill an innocent family - simply to take their bread. The narrator justifies this with the belief that "it was them or us." Some critics have viewed this as an attempt by the author to distance the work from the cosy catastrophe pattern in a way parallelling the relationship of William Golding's Lord of the Flies to its model Coral Island by R. M. Ballantyne.

Went to Alibris books. Hardcover starts at 144.00. Paperback at 29.00. Must be a really good book.

It's gotten good reviews at Amazon.

I was a big fan of John Christopher in my misspent youth, but I never heard of this book before.

Apparently they made it into a movie.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0066154/

Huh...

I never knew it had been made into a film.

Be tough to beat the book though.

The movie is rated as possibly the worst ever made. I dont buy that! I have 'Plan 9 From Outer Space' and nothing could scrunch beneath it. Nobody could make worse movies than Ed Wood! Any realistic movie about apocalypse should have a bit of cannabilisim in it. Why did the guy steal the bread when he could have had bar-b-q? Like it or not cannabalisim was common practice untill quite recently and may come back into vogue if circumstance permits.

http://www.ioffer.com/i/NO-BLADE-OF-GRASS-DVD-SCI-FI-1-OF-WORST-MOVIES-E...

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0066154/

Guess this was an off week for Cornel Wilde?

Trust them to screw up a good book :-(

Sorry, virtually no evidence for cannibalism in the ethnographic record: start with William Arens and Gananath Obeyesekere. The tales we've received are almost always of the "those other people on the other side of the mountains do the most horrible things" variety.

Because you are in denial does not mean that cannibalisim was not common. As common as the quick reversion to cannibalisim that took place at Donner Pass among a group headed to California in covered wagons that were trapped in the the Pass by heavy snows. These would be settlers ate each other with relish...lol.
There are innumerable cases of prehistoric human bones unearthed with scrape marks consistent with those left on animal bones, good evidence that stone tools, knives, had been used to remove meat from bone.
You too will be on the menu if people around you begin to starve.
It is hilarious how many are still in denial about cannibalisim after anthropoligists, palentoligist and a host of scientists have proven beyond a doubt that it did occur with frenquency and continues to occur in parts of the world today. See 'The Blank Slate' S.Pinker pg.320.
'The Wari people of the Amazon have a set of noun classifiers that distinguish edible from inedible objects, and that the edible class includes anyone who is not a member of the tribe. This prompted the psychologist Judith Richard Harris to observe;
In the Wari dictonary
Food's defined as not a Wari
Their dinners are a lot of fun
For all but the un-Wari one'
So, if you really believe what Arens and Obeyesekere profess, I suggest you hang out for a while in Wari country to prove the courage of your convictions. Take the salt and pepper.

I found these excerpts from Aren's The Man Eating Myth.

However, the evidence supporting its existence [cannibalism]is abundant and is represented in every medium imaginable, including stories, symbols, legends, writings, archeological evidence and first hand accounts. Cannibalism is a practice that reaches across centuries and cultures. In many cultures, it is considered atrocious and sacrilegious, whereas in another culture it is a sacred and revered custom. Cannibalism is an undeniable occurrence rooted in antiquity and branching forth to the present-day.

A wealth of archeological and anthropological evidence discovered in Africa, Australia, New Zealand, the Far East and Middle East further suggests the far-reaching capabilities of cannibalistic practices.

Are we missing something from the "ethnographic record"?

... for the convenience of TV, you can only be one of two kinds of human beings, either a liberal or a conservative. -- Kurt Vonnegut

Did you ever read Brunner, 'The Sheep Look Up' ? He had several very creepy environmental based SF works. They were more pollution and the ruined earth, but quite good as I recall.

According to my recollection, the book originally sold for thirty-five cents in paperback. It is more allegory than "hard" science fiction--but a good read, as are Christoper's other novels.

Its out of stock at Half.com but my local library has the book on the shelf. I will give it a read. Libraries are a great source and free. My library will even order dvd documentaries on request if they get a couple of requests. Take them home, burn a copy, watch them on a rainy day.