61 comments on Peak Oil Booklet - Introduction and Chapter 1 - What Is Peak Oil?
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61 comments on Peak Oil Booklet - Introduction and Chapter 1 - What Is Peak Oil?
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I have several questions:
1. What experiences have people had with self-publishing books? Who do you recommend?
2. What is your view on using a "regular" publishing company? (By the time one counts up the pages, what I have laid out is a small book.)
3. What requirements would schools have with respect to supplemental texts? Would they need to be published by known publishers?
4. How does one handle promotion and distribution of a booklet or book?
5. Are individual chapters in PDF form helpful?
Gail,
Self-publishing is great if you have a small, specialized market/target audience. When it comes to publicity, remember that you'll (probably) need to do most of it. Also, you'll probably need to pay publishing costs up-front... out of your own pocket.
Gail,
There are several "print on order" companies, i.e., a book is only printed when an order is at hand. You might want to contact James Rawles at http://www.survivalblog.com for his suggestions. (He runs the site.) He did this with his own books.
Todd
edit URL
I looked at one or two print on order places and it looked like the selling price of books would be $30+.
It seemed like some of the pay in advance places were on the order of $3 or $4 per book to print. The selling price would be higher, but not $30+.
Gail:
I have self-published a couple of novels using booksurge.com, now a subsidiary of Amazon. The key to keeping the costs within reason was to do ALL the editing (with friends) and formatting myself. That meant preparing the professionally formatted high-quality PDFs with 300 dpi figures for downloading into their POD printer system, one for the cover and one for the body. It cost me $99 to get into their system and another $50 to get listed on Amazon (that was 3 years ago - recheck prices). On yes, I found I needed to get my own set of ISBN numbers -- another $250.
Take a look at Memphis 7.9 (revised) and Broken River on Amazon to see the results. Total sales about 900 copies so far combined, and I consider that a success.
You will have no luck with "regular" publishers unless you have a truly hot-selling concept (or your name is hot). Peak Oil is not a not a hot topic, just as earthquakes is not. In fact, most people shy away from negative concepts. Publishers are in business for the money only, and they will judge your book purely on that basis. You can expect a royalty of ~4%, going higher if it is a best-seller. You will have to do all the work on the promotion and marketing anyway -- they will give you suggestions on what to do, make arrangements for you to be places, and maybe give you a little advance to help you do it, but it will be your time and effort that make the difference.
Marketing is a matter of sending out PR and getting attention. TOD is a good start. Send free copies to other peakoilers and get someone(s) to write a review of the book The book should have its own website from which you can sell the book, or at least direct link to Amazon (~25% royalty). See www.the79scenario.com. You can also get on the lecture circuit and sell the books at the end of your talks.
Booksurge and Amazon offer one means for distribution, and a pretty good one, but it is Print On Demand. They have plans for authors to get their books into the book distributers, like Ingram, but it requires more of an investment, and the price points can become a problem. You may need to print several thousand copies using offset printing to get the low cost needed for the normal book channels into the brick and mortar book stores. Then you have the problem of storing the books.
I believe there is no real competition between having the PDF chapters on the Internet and selling hardcopies in places like Amazon. Some people demand hard copy; others will whine when they cannot get PDF files. They are not the same people. So do both, but your PDF files should tell them how to get their own "signed" copy from you for a price. Also, on the Internet you can ask for a donation to help defray the cost of your website and your time in writing the book everyone needs.
I am not sure about the situation in schools, except most of what I hear is that choice of school books is more political than quality driven. If you find some teachers that want to push your book, great.
Hope that helps. Good luck, and if you want more specific information, get in touch.
Sam Penny
the Prudent RVer
www.PrudentRVer.com
As one who has published a book used in college and tech-school classes ("Economics: Making Good Choices," Southwestern, ITP, 1996) I have some suggestions.
1. Write the book to please yourself. You can rewrite later to make editors happy.
2. College textbooks sales representatives can be very valuable resources. They know what is out there, what is selling, what publishers want.
3. An agent may help--but maybe not. I had a supposedly first rate agent who tried for a year to sell my book; he failed, even though he believed in the book and made substantial efforts to get editors to look at it.
4. Personal marketing is what worked for me. The editor who finally bought my book saw it because of the efforts of a sales rep who was a distant cousin of a former student of mine. The book nearly died three times, first when an editor got sick and died of cancer while the script was on her desk, and second when ITP bought Southwestern; then the acquiring ediotr (my chapmpion and mentor and sponsor and guy who wrote the advance check) moved on to another company.
5. When the book was first published there was no publicity, no advertising budget--so I took matters into my own hands and personally promoted the book at a big critical thinking conference. (A critical-thinking perspective is a distinctive feature of my book.) This promotion worked, and a woman whose family owns a chain of tech schools loved the book; they adopted it; many tens of thousands of copies were sold, and I got to retire early.
The most useful advice anybody can give to an author is:
Write the best book you can. Then hope that somebody likes it.
By the way, try to hold out for a goodly advance, because the bigger the author's advance the bigger will be the advertising budget.
Thank you for sharing that story with us.
It demonstrates several things:
1. The Marketplace is not some autonomous machine that always comes through for us. It is a bunch of little stalls with half-asleep proprietors running most of them.
2. Persistence can pay off while giving up is the sure fire kiss of death.
3. You are the only person who will champion your idea.
Hi Gail,
I teach Science in further education in UK. I have also taught in schools.
In response to question 3, I would buy mostly from established educational publishers (for the library as well as the lab. book shelf) simply because of the reliability factor.
Also remember that schools are very curriculum/exam syllabus driven. So if PO is not on the syllabus (and it isn't here, although renewables/non-renewables are) then we generally don't have time to "teach" it from a specialised text. That's not to say that I don't manage to sneak the message in when the curriculum allows! :)
Really to answer 3. It all depends on who is doing the buying, how much time they have to research books and how much budget they have to buy books that deal with only a tiny part of a curriculum.
I wonder if there are many PO aware teachers out there?
Sally
PS Teachers do have an advantage over others when it comes to spreading the word - a captive audience! I only feel slightly guilty about this! :D
I've been looking into the same question. While I am not a teacher, I have several family members who are.
You pretty much hit on the major issues when talking about curriculum and buying from a "reliable" source of texts. In most places, the state (the government) dictates to teachers what they will and will not teach. For example, in most states of the United States, public school teachers are barred from teaching about Creationalism (Intelligent Design, or whatever else it is called) and prohibited from teaching religion.
Second, textbooks are a multi-billion dollar a year big business. Book companies are in the business of constantly revising their texts to make them politically correct (PC) for the current political party in power. When you look at some of the elementary textbooks that the State of California (where I live) forces down the throats of students and teachers, you can't help but wonder who bribed whom and with how much. The books are atrocious and boring beyond any mild case of ADHD. Even I as a literate adult can't understand half of them.
The likelihood that any in-power political party or big-business book company will broach on the topic of Peak Oil is close to nil. Look at what happened to poor congressman Roscoe Bartlett of the United States even while his Republican party was in full power. They wouldn't give him the time of day. It's an uphill battle. But who is there to fight the good fight if not us peons?
Hi Gail,
Kudos for the article. I'm looking forward to the rest of your series!
As for self-publishing, I would take a look at http://www.lulu.com/ Lots of people swear by them, and their services do seem pretty straightforward.
You can do it pretty cheap if you take care of all the typesetting + design yourself. I would recommend using a document processing system like LaTeX: it takes care of most of the hard typesetting decisions, and the results are professional in quality. Also, stay away from Excel if you want print-quality graphs (sadly, most graphs published here in the Oil Drum look cheap and amateurish because Excel makes such a terrible job). It is worth learning Gnuplot — and especially Asymptote — if you want beautiful professional graphs and illustrations:
http://www.gnuplot.info/
http://asymptote.sf.net/
(All of the above are Free Software!)
Here is also a quick link to Lulu's book cost calculator:
(as I said they are very straightforward)
http://www.lulu.com/includes/calc_book_inc.php
Thanks for your ideas.
I had found the Lulu site myself. Its good to hear that others like their services. Their web site seems to be very helpful. My one concern with Lulu was that the retail cost seems to come out a little higher than many would like to pay, $30 or so.
Thanks too for the graphics references. I had already come to the conclusion that Excel is pretty limited for graphics, and asked a question on the Chapter 2 post about better graphing software. When I have had magazine articles published in the past, the publisher always took care of making the nice graphics.
I hadn't thought about LaTeX. My husband uses it a lot. I haven't tried it.
There is a word like front end end for LaTeX that really does make it easy.
http://www.lyx.org/
Hi Gail,
Thank you for doing this. It's wonderful to see.
I'd like to give some "quality time" to reading both of your posts, etc. - and don't have it for a few days. Any chance I could respond later w. comments?
I don't know anything about publishing. Still - have a few suggestions! :)
Yes, I would definitely try for a "regular" publishing co. My suggestion would be to email Paul Roberts (from his official website) http://www.the-end-of-oil.com and ask him if he might offer some suggestions. Perhaps his agent or editor could help you.
I say this because I have the view that people who are concerned at the level "we" are take a view towards supporting everyone's efforts. (At least, I hope so.)
New Society Publishers has published Richard Heinberg's books (not sure which ones), but you might try them, as well.
I have a couple of other suggestions of specific people to contact, and if you could email me (aniyacafe at yahoo dot com), I'll be happy to send you those as well.
Personally, I think there is a growing interest in "peak oil" and a huge need (and growing potential demand) for a book like this. Also, if it's published by a larger co, you might be able to add more graphics, perhaps even photos, etc.
From what I can see, for example, there's a surge of interest among college-age people in "peak" and environmental issues in general. I think your book is needed and welcome.
I beg to differ regarding your estimate of current demand and "growing potential demand".
Richard's latest book, as an example, has been out for almost a year. Has sold less than 5,000 copies. Books generally sell mostly in the first three months after publication, which means the totals for it are unlikely to go much higher then where they are currently. Considering he's the high priest of Peak Oil and that he's got New Society pushing it, that's a damn small number.
Why so few? Obviously, it has nothing to do with a lack of quality as this is Richard Heinberg we're talking about here. I think the real cause is the market is saturated at this point with "Peak Oil 101" books and most of us who have discovered it in the last 5 years bought these sort of books in 2003-to-2005.
New Society asked me to write something and I said "What is there left to say other than 'we're in serious deep shit' as explained by Richard and 2 dozen other authors ad nauseum?'" (insert sound of chirping crickets here)
When I say "the market is saturated" here's an example: I sell PO books for a living and I can't even keep up with all the new titles. In 2004 or 2005 I would sell 30 copies of a book like TLE the day it came out and 200-400 over the course of the year.
Now if a new PO 101 book (like Last Oil Shock by Strahan) comes out I don't even bother adding it to my storefront. It *might* sell 20 copies the whole year. The faithful have already been converted and are now looking to figure out what if anything they can do, not buy yet another Peak Oil 101 text. Sorry.
Now if you've got a good book on growing food or something like "Gardening When it Counts", also a New Society publicaton, that's a different story. Why? Because the "raising awareness" phase is now in decline and has given way to the "figuring out how the hell to survive or what to do" phase.
As far as "growing potential demand" if somebody hasn't wised up now and looked into this stuff the chances of them ever looking into it are next to nill. I'd say 95% of all the people ever likely to be truly concerned about these issues are already onboard. The idea that there is a "growing potential demand", I just dont' see that. I think those of us who have been concerned for some time are getting increasingly nervous as the news is getting worse and worse these days. But our collective anxiety shouldn't be mistaken for others wising up.
@Gail: I'd say put up a site and blog for your stuff. Post the thing as a PDF under a commons license. Truth be told, you're not going to make any money from it even if it does get a publisher so I wouldn't worry too much about losing money. In fact, you'll probably make more if you convert it to html, get a google ad sense account and put in the ads then you will make from having a publisher . . . (That's not legal or financial advice mind you.)
Then update it once a week with an original article of your own. I suggessted Dave Cohen do this to promote himself but he didn't seem too interested in self-promoting. Then he got the ASPO gig. If you do that you can probalby generate 500 visits a day on average (if not more) as I'd likely link to the articles on LATOC's news page and I'm sure Leanan would here at TOD.
If you self publish it: Assumming you price it in the $12-to-$15 range, you'll end up making a couple bucks, $2 or $3, per book by the time you've paid for:
1. having it printed up and bound
2. the isbn numbers (they make you buy ten of them at a time)
3. any licenses you need for cover art
4. fees to have a firm take, pack, ship, track and account for your orders. (Unless you want to do all thatt yourself)
I hope I don't come off as a party pooper here.
For those who are curious: I self-published a book on this stuff. I have 300 copies left and a guy in Texas just offered to buy them all. I'm selling them to him for $6 a copy which is just barely over what my costs for it are. I'm not bothering to have any more printed up. I might - emphasis on the word "might" - put together an encylopedia of prep articles by others and have that printed up, the profits being shared among the contributors. But see the difference here: a "Here's why we're in trouble" Peak Oil book has little value at this stage of the game. If you're going to publish a PO book at this stage of the game it needs to be of the "How the hell do we get ourselves unscrewed" genre as opposed to "Here's an indepth explanation of why we're screwed" cause, frankly, that's overdone at this point.
Here's an example of what I'm talking about. LATOC's two newest additions, available next week, will be:
Getting Out (of the U.S.)
http://tinyurl.com/yo9knd
Preparednes Now
http://processmediainc.com/titles/selfreliance/preparedness_now.php
Notice I don't have any of the Peak Oil 101 books published in the last 2 years on the site any longer.
Here's one I'll be reading myself:
http://processmediainc.com/titles/art_and_culture/the_source.php
=)
Matt,
I appreciate your comments. It is good to have some thoughts from someone who has been there.
I would like to think that Peak Oil will go "mainstream" in the not too distant future, and there will be a need for additional material, in large quantities. Schools in particular will want to cover the subject (one might hope).
My husband right now has a contract to prepare Power Point slides to go with a computer science textbook that he has been teaching from. I asked him this evening who his contract is from, and he said Pearson Education. They are a big college textbook publisher. I think it would be worth my time to try to talk to the woman my husband has been dealing with, to see if there is any interest.
I am not in this to make money, but it would be nice not to lose a lot of money. I agree that I do not want to get into the business of mailing out packages of books. I have a sister who self-published a book a while back, and she has told me some stories about mailing out packages - not for me. She is of the view that now days, most people should self-publish their first book. She now has a contract, with an advance, to publish her third book. I haven't been able to discuss my current idea with her because she has been out of the country for the last few weeks.
While TheChimp has a lot of good advice and information, I would take the advice about not going forward with a new PO 101 book publication with a grain of salt. Of course it's a risky proposition, but, just like the future in oil is not going to be like the past, the future for PO awareness will not be like the past. Probably one thing you could try to do if success is most important, is to time the book's release to coincide with some defining moment in the MSM where PO starts to have general coverage, (if that happens). As people wake up they'll start looking around for further information and background. It's going to be the latest and greatest book on the market that they'll grab.
-Don
Hi Chimp,
I'm glad my comment was occasion for sharing your expertise.
It sounds like good advice to blog and/or publish under a "creative commons license" (whatever that is - Chimp knows).
Here's my take on it, though. There are a whole lot of young 'uns who are interested in "Environmental Studies", "sustainability" and such. I find a gap in what's offered. "Global warming" is understood as a topic, "peak oil" - as far as I can tell - just is not.
I know, Chimp - it's obvious to those who know. To those who don't understand, especially WRT "our" FF dependency and the inter-connection of uses - it's just not. Simply isn't. Several aspects are not getting through, for example, "Do alternatives add up to an easy answer?" Or, "What is the amount of work done by a gallon of gas in terms people can relate to?"
Yes, Richard is the "high priest" in many respects. At the same time, an overview with more "background and history" on the entire picture - I think there's a gap. (Though I haven't read Strahan and confess to not reading the ODP). (I also think Richard's 9/ll references in "The Party's Over" kind of detracted, in a way, but this is relatively minor.)
The thing is - for background, what Gail's doing appears to me to be different. (Would you say she covers material in a different way?) (Richard's essays cover ground in a different way, too, than his books do, is also my impression.)
Something that is in book form (or can be obtained in book form), accessible and yet covers all the bases. And has references. And also - gives a way to analyze the references. People (esp. high school, college, etc.) need "means" - a way to critically look at the topic.
My guess is that a book has advantages. Unless, of course, there's a conflict between having it up free on the web (which I'm all in favor of - ) and publishing - (probably there is...wups?) (Heaven - (or, at least - our resident non-practicing attorney)- knows).
I am just looking from the sidelines at what I perceive to be a potential in the academic "market" - if it exists, if it isn't too politically tied up or whatever.
Perhaps you could contribute the "How the H*ll Do We" chapter(s), which is also a good idea.
Aniya,
I will be check back at this site for comments for several days. I have discovered in the past that comments tend to continue for several days.
Let me think about your offer regarding people to contact about publishing. I want to try Pearson Education, where my husband has a contact, first (see my comment below).