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GAIA Host Collective
The problem is mobility, yet we spend a major amount of time worrying about how to fill gas tanks.
Please consider this extract from the Systems Engineering book being written by Professors at West Point:
System Engineering: Decision Making in Systems Engineering and Management
by, Gregory S. Parnell, Ph.D., Editor
by, Patrick J. Driscoll, Ph.D., Editor
by, Dale L. Henderson, Ph.D., Design Editor
In fact, one of the most significant failings of the current U.S. transportation system is that the automobile was never thought of as being part of a system until recently. It was developed and introduced during a period that saw the automobile as a standalone technology largely replacing the horse and carriage. So long as it outperformed the previous equine technology, it was considered a success. This success is not nearly so apparent if the automobile is examined from a systems thinking perspective. In that guise, it has managed to fail miserably across a host of dimensions. Many of these can be observed in any major US city today: oversized cars and trucks negotiating tight roads and streets, bridges and tunnels incapable of handling daily traffic density, insufficient parking, poor air quality induced in areas where regional air circulation geography restricts free flow of wind, a distribution of the working population to suburban locations necessitating automobile transportation, and so on. Had the automobile been developed as a multilateral system interconnected with urban (and rural) transportation networks and environmental systems, U.S. cities would be in a much different situation than they find themselves in today.
What is important here is not that the automobile could have been developed differently, but that in choosing to design, develop and deploy the automobile as a stand alone technology, a host of complementary transportation solutions to replace the horse and buggy were not considered.
We can design better and build better.
The problem is mobility
Counterpoint.
The Problem is our Urban Form
I just walked 2.5 blocks to get a special local lunch for the volunteers about to leave town.
Homemade cottage cheese with vine ripened Creole tomatoes picked yesterday.
The farmer picked them yesterday morning and then delivered them to 3 neighborhood grocery stores yesterday @ noon in the back of his pick-up truck.
Zara's, the corner grocery store, makes their own cottage cheese (milk from Brown's Dairy, 7 blocks from Zara's, Browns collects raw milk from cows within radius of about 60 or 70 miles).
I will walk to St. Vincent's Guest House (1840s Orphanage) 5 blocks away with my farewell gift.
New Orleans could use more streetcars and wants more.
But a dense, human scale neighborhood is what is needed and the St. Charles streetcar has sustained ours.
More Later,
Alan
Some things we agree on. I think it would be wise for communities to Ark-up. Self-reliance is valuable in it own right.
I am unsure about suburbia. It might be a life-saver if yards are converted to gardens. There is not as much farmable space in highly dense urban areas.
A lot will depend on luck, when the erratic spikes of peak oil manifest. Hopefully gas prices with ratchet up until the pain causes us the take long term action. So far we have been unlucky in that the pain comes and goes; and with it our attention span.
Change is coming. It will be big and a surprise.
Alan, vine ripened tomatoes and fresh cottage cheese-you must be trying to seduce the volunteers into staying in NOLA.
Bob Ebersole
Alan, vine ripened tomatoes and fresh cottage cheese-you must be trying to seduce the volunteers into staying in NOLA
Uh'mmm, Yes.
About 10% of the volunteers say that they want to move to New Orleans and some in fact do so. They are about as good new citizens as one could hope for to repopulate the city.
The people of New Orleans have VERY positive feelings towards volunteers and saying that one is an ex-volunteer that decided to move opens doors quickly.
One had a grandmother with a PhD in Educational Development that recently retired from Pennsylvania and moved to Florida (and said that she was bored). She is going to talk to her about moving to New Orleans and helping the school system rebuild into a better system.
My other treats are a Port of Call hamburger and then on to Donna's on Monday night (jazz club), muffalotes and po-boys. And a a friendly face :-)
Best Hopes for more Volunteers,
Alan
On to final edit of article for ASPO newsletter.
Alan, I think New Orleans is the best city in the USA. Great food, great people, great music. The fact that the feds abandoned you just shows the superiority of your home, its too good for that obnoxious bunch in Washington.
The island nation of Galveston is pretty fine too, but we're definitely outclassed on the food and music. Still, we have a 17ft. concrete seawall, never topped by a storm surge. Here's hoping ya'll can get some 1903 technology!
Bob Ebersole
Agree, NO = best seafood on the continent overall. Galveston does have a few gems, my favorite was Guidos. An Italian restaurant a mile or two down the road to the East had a good Parmesan. When I was still with Amoco, I was all over the continent. I was on a quest to find the best crab cakes, lol. Interestingly, Lafayette, La. had the number two ranked cakes, can't remember the name of the restaurant however. Number 1 for crab cakes was Bookbinders in Philly! My opinion scandalized a coworker that was based in Baltimore, hehe.
The 'Captains Table' in Chrisfield had the best crabcakes I have eaten...they tore down the restaurant and built a bunch of damn condos.
Relayer,
The restaurant east on the Seawall is Mario's, located at 6th and Seawall. Excellent crab cakes too. Guidos has unfortunately been sold to Landry's Restaurants, owned by Tillman Fertita and has gone downhill. He also owns Landry's,Willie G's, Joe's Crab Shack, The Saltgrass Steakhouse, The Rainforest Cafe and the Aquarium. Stay away, except the Saltgrass has decent steaks. He has a real touch for taking great local restaurants and turning them to theme restaurants with mediocre food.
Clary's, on Teichman Road is the best nice seafood house on this part of the coast now. There are several other pretty good ones, though-Shrimp N' Stuff at 39th and O has the best gumbo, great shrimp and fried oysters, the Cajun Greek has excellent red snapper ponchetrain, great crabs and crawfish pie, the Captains Table has great stuffed flounder.
No wonder I'm 20 lbs overweight, I love to eat!
Bob Ebersole
Ah man, that bites. Guidos used to be one the best reasons to stay on the the Seawall. Used to hit Texas City refinery 4 to 6 times a year and Galveston ended up being my favorite place to stay. Nice air museum in town. Marios, yea that's the one, don't recall thinking to try the crab cakes there though, oh well. Didn't realize those others were owned by the same guy. Yea, typical chain restaurants, although there is a Joe's within range and is acceptable for when I need a fix. My experience with Landry's has been hit-or-miss. Sadly my kids like going to the Rainforest downtown Chicago, overpriced for what you get to me. (Best crab cakes in Chicago at Shaws downtown.) Have not tried a Saltgrass. When it's time for a steak we go do one of a couple local owned things nearby.
There is actually a decent Cajun restaurant within about 6 miles or so started up by a guy that moved up here from NO, very good. His etoufee is killer, good gumbo and jambalaya also. (Spelling on those? lol) Beans with rice, wow, just a simple thing, but when spiced correctly can be great. One of those simple things in life, eh? I had never really gotten into Cajun cooking until getting that job and spending time down in Louisiana and South Texas. What an eye-opener.
Stopped for lunch one day en route to a chopper base to go offshore for a week first time, I think it was near Houma, LA. Little local owned cafe, there was a rack on the table with about 30 different bottles of hot sauce, lol. Made valiant attempt to try them all on catfish. Most were darn good!
Man, when I took the transfer to Chicago, all of a sudden I was on the road all the time eating out every night, gained 19 lbs. that first year. Like you, eating is, uhm, my 2nd love.
I am in mourning for Guidos now, sigh. If I ever make it back down there, will ask you to steer me to some good places, hehe.
I understand that the automobile was designed to make money. Not to solve a transportation problem, not to make people's lives better, not to improve community relationships or their sex-lives. All that, and more was a sort of implied promise -- but systems engineering was not, and was never supposed to be part of the marketing strategy of Ford and GM.
I suppose that it is possible for a society to change gears and actually act rationally. I'm not aware of any historical precedent, but I would love to be corrected on that. And I suppose that TOD might actually form the nucleus of a rational world, but I can't quite see how that will work. Geeks do not do well in Congress.
I think Henry Ford would say that he made affordable cars to better the lives of people. It has. Could you imagine the amount of horse crap there would be if we still used horses.
The technology of personal, on-demand mobility has paved the way for vast advances in our understand and economic development.
Unfortunately, it has been subsidized to an extent that what should have become painful about it in 1973 has remained masked to most people.
In general, I think it would be wise, but not practical, to remove all subsidies from all forms of transportation and let the market pick what is most valuable. It is cause less shock, if we wean our addictions.
I think the best way to make a radical shift, is to give people something they want more than cars. In very specific niches, we have devised JPods, that can be privately financed to automate highly repetitive travel at a profit.
If they are well enough received, and there is time for them to propagate before Peak Oil crushes the economy, we have a good chance to make the corner.
The first networks will likely be built in Sunnyvale, CA, near the Mall of America (Minneapolis, MN) and Dollywood (Pigeon Forge, TN).
As with Henry Ford, we believe that personal mobility equates to economic, social and educational opportunity. We believe that personal, on-demand mobility is a manifestation of liberty.
Personal cars are imagined to be a sort of "liberty" in the US, the product perhaps of watching too many car commercials. In actuality:
Cars are a major financial burden. A typical car today costs about $7000 per year of after-tax $$ to operate. That's not too bad for many people, but for some people that is insurmountable. They are effectively stranded. On top of that, there is additional cost for all sorts of car-related stuff, such as garages or paid parking in more urban areas. How many thousands of $$ does a typical two-car garage cost?
Cars are also a major pain in the butt. They break, get into accidents, are stolen, need to be maintained, washed, etc.
I lived in Tokyo for five years without a car. Japan has a fabulous transit system, both within the city and throughout the country. I went on week-long backcountry ski trips via trains and buses, all very conveniet. Having such a system is real freedom -- no major financial outlays, no maintenance, no worries about having too many drinks, no major risk of accidents, no drain of time and energy, no looking for parking. Just pay your $1.50 for the subway. Easy to reduce expenditure, if necessary -- just don't go on long trips -- while a car is almost entirely sunk costs.
I've lived both ways, and not having a car is true freedom. A car, in the US, is like a tax on being alive.
Of course, many Americans will argue until they are blue that I am wrong. They, in their limited experience and laughably narrow views, tend to assume that I am talking about something theoretical rather than real. It cannot be! I already know that it is. For me, it is as obvious as the moon. Americans are a pretty pathetic bunch.
OTOH this perhaps deceptively hints at the existence of a free lunch - which is the typical problem discussing transportation, all modes of which are massively overused because they are massively subsidized.
The typical Japanese household pays the equivalent of thousands of dollars a year in taxes just to support JR, never mind the Tokyo Metro. Despite that, a $1.50 fare generally only takes one a kilometer or two. To go much of anywhere one usually must pay a JR East (which, in Tokyo, functions as their equivalent of an S-Bahn or RER) fare ranging to somewhere north of $5 just for a mere ten or fifteen km, and/or an expensive fare on one of the fully private rail lines.
In exchange for such heavy expense, the trains are very efficient and nice - and, most of all, punctual, which is always a pleasant shock to one used to the shiftlessness, sloth, and mulish stupidity of US transit operators - but in some cases they are inhumanely overcrowded. And they are trains, so they only go where and when they go, not necessarily where and when you need to go. (That's less of a problem for tourists and visitors, who have more than they can ever see even if they limit themselves to where the trains go.) For example, after about midnight, all you get is the shaft.
Oh, and the frequent and relatively comprehensive service near Tokyo does rely on the oppressive presence of wall-to-wall people stuffing every conceivable nook and cranny, as not only is Japan the size of California but with nearly half the US population, but much of that population is crammed into Honshu's tiny eastern coastal plain. To put it mildly, not every North American is going to want to live that way in order to have the service. And away from that crushing mass, transit service even in Japan becomes the same logistical nightmare that it is in most uncrowded places throughout the world.
I agree with you PaulS. My brother-in-law lives and works in Osaka. We visited him in 2004 for 2 weeks. Public transportation in Japan is extremely punctual, clean and convenient. But it is extremely expensive (like everything else in Japan) and overcrowded. I guess it is as expensive to take public transportation in Japan as it is to maintain a car in the US. If you live 30 km away from work you could easily spend $20/day on transportation. Electricity is twice as expensive as US, food and water is very expensive and apartments are very small and expensive. And the Japanese culture makes it difficult for "gaijin" to assimilate.
Overall I would say that it is not a very pleasant place to live unless you were born and brought up there and are an ethnic Japanese.
I always felt I was getting what I was paying for... a safe, on time method of transportation. Yes, Japanese fares are more than some Europeans and Americans are used to, but I always accepted that quality of service was worth it. Also, while there are very crowded trains in Japan, there are also plenty that are not so so crowded. But here we are at a cultural divide, because what American's consider "crowded" the Japanese may consider "comfortable."
Not at all. Having done both (car commute in the US, trains in Japan) I can assure you that the trains are much less costly. Less convenient yes, as one has to adhere to the train companies' schedules, but less expensive also. Note that regular commuters often can get passes that cost less than individual tickets. Also, students often get half price, and in some cases seniors ride at lower costs or even no cost.
Apartments are small for several reasons, not the least of which is limited land available. However, my housing costs in Japan were not more than what I had experienced in coastal California! The space was smaller of course.
To reach the point where it is actually less expensive to live in Japan, yes, less expensive than California, one has to embrace the Asian lifestyle and not try to recreate your American lifestyle.
Japan is a pleasant place to live, as long as a gaijin one accepts that one is an outsider and always will be. That btw was much worse before the age of oil.
Truer words have rarely been written; that applies to food, housing, transportation, entertainment, everything. The living costs of expats who fail to follow that advice are truly stupendous.
Nor, up above, was I trying to say that Japan is unpleasant - among other things I have found it fascinating but also different - just that IMO one should not expect or anticipate that most North Americans would adapt readily, willingly, or well to similar conditions. A short visit is one thing, day-in-and-day-out living for an indefinite period is quite another.
For example, I recall some folks from the metro DC area who had an extra day on a business trip, who I discovered had frittered it away at the hotel because they had walked the 1/3 mile to the JR train station, found it "intimidating", and come back. I said, what a shame, didn't you see the big overhead map, where every station is named in familiar-looking romaji as well as in Japanese? You just select the one you want using the English mode of the fare machine and put in your yen; and out comes your ticket and off you go. But they were having none of it. And that was such a very small thing on a very short visit.
N.B. most Japanese will be well aware that you are a gaijin, an outsider, and well aware that it can take a lifetime to master the complexity of their culture. In the more cosmopolitan regions, at least, they seem to be reasonable about it so long as you don't lapse too often into being gaijin da, i.e. too foreign, perhaps to the point of seeming or actually being disrespectful.
Econguy,
"Cars are a major financial burden"
really like your post and its description of the true burden of car ownership and driving. I have many patients on public assistance or who are elderly on fixed incomes. They would never think of it this way, but they often spend as much or more on their car than they do on their house. A common scenario around here (Appalachia) is a $25,000 SUV parked outside a $20,000 trailer home. At least the trailer home is good for 40 or 50 years if maintained.
I've said before that in America you're better off in many respects if you're paraplegic than if you are epilleptic and have a seizure every 6 months. A paraplegic can at least still get just about anywhere in his car, whereas the epilleptic in most places in America has no options but to go on disability and sit at home, at the mercy of friends and family to escort them on a weekly trip to the grocery store.
"I've lived both ways, and not having a car is true freedom. A car, in the US, is like a tax on being alive."
I've always felt the same way- that cars are not "liberating" as the automobile manufacturers would have us believe. That notion of freedom is a theme in many car commercials- driving on a winding road with the convertible top down, beautiful sky, no other cars in site. Most of the time, however, much of the driving one does is hardly liberating. You're stuck behind slower traffic on the freeway, battling to change lanes. You're stopping every block at a light. You go when you're told to go, and stop when you're told to stop. You're stuck in one seat and in one position the entirety of your trip.
I have no idea who this quote is from but this also seems to pretty much perfectly apply to U.S. politics.
Personal cars are imagined to be a sort of "liberty" in the US, the product perhaps of watching too many car commercials. In actuality... Cars are a major financial burden.
Not just a US phenomenon, but worldwide. Whenever personal income reaches a certain level, large numbers of people chose to spend on personal transportation. Consider China and India today; look at South Korea and Japan previously. For many people, personal transportation unquestionably expands their options: more employment choices, more educational opportunities for one's kids, greater freedom as to the time of day when various activities can be pursued. A large fraction -- I would estimate a majority -- of the world's population appears to believe that the benefits of personal transportation outweigh the costs, once their income is large enough.
Clearly, the world's desired level of personal transportation cannot be sustained with petroleum. I think it is nearly as clear that it cannot be sustained with liquid biofuels (eg, ethanol and biodiesel) either. Engineer-Poet makes a reasonable argument that electrification is possible (eg, his calculations on zinc-air storage with wind/solar generation). Unless it can be shown that no personal transportation solutions are possible, better not to demand that people will have to give it up, because much (most?) of the world's population believes it is highly desirable.