99 comments on EROEI Short #4: Bootstrap-EROEI
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99 comments on EROEI Short #4: Bootstrap-EROEI
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GAIA Host Collective
Not quite so. You've spent X of energy to build the machine, and 1/EROEI * X to gather that energy. For the earlier case, that was X + 0.01 * X = 1.01 * X. For the later case, that was X + 0.02 * X = 1.02 * X. So, you've spent a bit less than 1% more energy, not 100% more.
For highter EROEI, the difference is negligible. But it skyrockets when you approach 1.
...when it reaches infinity. But that's not the point, is it? The point is if wind, solar and the likes are really EROEI positive or negative. That's what it all comes down to, and to which there are people here trying to instill doubt about the rather good EROEI of these machines.
But you cannot count energy twice. You cannot say that the "truck" uses X plus 1/EROEI*X and then sum it back to see if the production of energy is EROEI positive.
You should only do the obvious: sum all the required energy spent. And for that I couldn't care less if it came from EROEI 100 or 1000 or if it was a gift from God himself. Just count it. Divide it from the energy produced. Voilá, there's your EROEI.
Why do people keep inventing what's been already invented? Move on people, don't stray in the primary school.
You are probably one of those who absolutely can not abide a negative eroei.
It's a grammar error I usually make. By "negative" EROEI, I wasn't meaning a value of <0, but a value <1. I added to the confusion. Sorry about that.
Actualy, I had two points. One is to evidence an error of the post, that does not take away all its meaning, but can lead to wrong interpretations sometimes.
My second point it that it doesn't really matter if our energy source has EROEI if 50, 100, 1000 or 10^9. But it really does matter if its EROEI is 1.3.
It is of limited value to talk about EROEI in isolation.
What if the EROEI was 1.3 but it had a 1 sec turnover rate.
Every second you would have 30% more energy that you had the second before. Or what if the the EROEI was only 1.3 but required almost no equipment or labor. Would it really matter then?
You are correct in one sense that eroei only becomes an issue as the net energy (see clifman's analysis) approaches 1 or zero. Then the externalities of the effort (labor devoted to energy acquisition 'stolen' from other social goods, negative environmental damage,et) become very important issues.
If as you said the primary energy source requires no equipment or labor to harvest and process then it would have an infinite energy return.
If the primary energy source requires lots and lots of equipment and labor to extract (for instance a fossil fuel from the ground or wind from the air) then it could have negative eroei.
... which is an assumption without real study. If the energy used would be more mechanized and without human input (a perfect machine that would function without human intervention for centuries, for example - and yes, I know it sounds like sci-fi, but we are getting into that), it wouldn't really mean a thing if the EROEI was 1.3. It would only be of importance if the energy output was not enough for our needs. Machines would be restless.
Of course, I'm not endorsing it. The problem with EROEI = 1.3 or smth like it is that it is more risky. If the production line explodes, or major malfunctions, or whatever, you may easily get EROEI < 1. And that's very bad.
It is precisely these type of picayune arguments that obfuscate and trivialize the entire problem we face. These accounting procedure arguments ignore the basic fundamental question, TO WIT:
Could a wind turbine produce in its lifetime all the energy that was used in every aspect of its own manufacture? From mining, to transit infrastructure, to manufacture, to feeding and housing the people who do that work.
See. Pretty damned simple.
NO need to worry about how coal mining is going or if old trucks are depreciated energy-wise. Just a simple question.
Hi Cherenkov,
I confess I'm having a hard time getting my head wrapped around this topic, so bear with me as I try to muddle my way through this. I guess my question is really this: When we assign a value to a particular energy source, do we do so solely on the basis of the energy inputs that went into its development/production (e.g., steel, concrete, etc.), or would it be more appropriate to assign a value based on the energy inputs it displaces?
Wind power might be a case in point... here in Nova Scotia, each kWh of wind could, in theory, displace up to 10,000 BTUs of thermal coal. Which would be a more appropriate measure of its true value? How about investments in energy conservation? When I add loft insulation to my home, would I assign a value based on the resources that were consumed in its production and transportation, or should I my accounting be based on the energy it saves?
Cheers,
Paul
You are raising a question that is slightly off the EROEI issue, but no less important in a world choked by our excesses.
I think EROEI ratios are important too though, unlike some posters above. And here is why:
If you have a total production of xGJ with a total EROEI of 4:1, then you have 0.8xGJ available for use.
If you have a total production of xGJ with a total EROEI of 2:1, then you have 0.33xGJ available for use.
A stricking difference, even before you get to values close to 1:1. Why not just build more capacity at lower EROEI? Simple - waste and materials. The whole "just build more/bigger" meme is part of the problem that got us to where we are today...
"You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created."
Albert Einstein
This is a problem with biofuels. A major one.
But not with solar and wind and the likes, which have EROEIS in the order of 6-20.
Thing is, there's no other stuff that so easily substitutes oil as biofuels do. That's why such a bad investment is being done. We should question though its wide implications. Ecological, social, etc.
Thanks for sharing your insight; much appreciated. In the words of Stephen Leacock, my thoughts often go "madly off in all directions", but one more tangential question, if I may. Is any credit given to the recovery of energy inputs at the end of a product's service life, assuming some or all of the hardware can be recycled or reused? In the case of a solar panel, say, I take it the aluminium frame can be salvaged and perhaps some of the other components as well, in which case, at least some of the embodied energy is recoverable. On the other hand, I'm assuming much of the concrete and steel used in the construction of a hydroelectric dam or nuclear reactor cannot. Do these types of calculations normally take into consideration residual value when comparing one option to another?
Cheers,
Paul
I think that you want 0.66xGJ for EROEI 2:1. For EROEI 1:1 it is still 0.5xGJ. I think the way you want to look at this is the way you put it terms of scale of the operation. So, start by asking how much energy you want, then pick some quantity like land surface area that has a definite limit, and ask what EROEI is feasable to produce the amount of energy you want from the resource available. That way you know what your minimum target EROEI is. You'll have to put in other details like raw productivity or, for oil, the amount of surface area that has oil under it. In terms of raw productivity, you can accept a lower EROEI for higher productivity since you need less land all other things being equal.
So, lets take, for example, 35 billion gallons of ethanol per year by 2017 set by the president. The raw productivity is about 400 gallons/acre/year for corn so we need about 86 million acres or 137,000 sq mi or 2.4 Iowas. You can do this with any EROEI that you like, but if you want be sure that you get the whole 35 billion gallons for use other than say growing corn, you need to give a limit on how much land you are willing to devote, say 4 Iowas, and look for a target EROEI that lets you do this. In this case you would be using 1.6 Iowas to support net energy production from 4 Iowas so your target EROEI is 2.5. Now you have said something helpful. You are not going to use more than 2.4 Iowas to meet your production target but you know where the self-sustaining EROEI is. Then you are fine using natural gas and oil to grow corn because you are not putting a greater burden on those resources that is not compensated for elsewhere by the ethanol. As it turns out, getting to an EROEI of 2.5 does not appear to be feasable using natural gas and oil, so you need to think of something else. One thing you might do is ask how many Nevadas it would take to produce nitrogen fertilizer using solar power and a low pressure aluminum nitride process instead of Haber-Bosch because then you effectively increase the usable land area to non-arable land. If you innovate in various way, you might get to the target EROEI. The usefulness of EROEI is to be able to ask and answer what if questions of this type.
Chris
"Could a wind turbine produce in its lifetime all the energy that was used in every aspect of its own manufacture? From mining, to transit infrastructure, to manufacture, to feeding and housing the people who do that work."
Yes.
"For highter EROEI, the difference is negligible. But it skyrockets when you approach 1."
I think this is a critical issue that is being grossly overlooked. Here's a little table I built to illustrate the basic concept:
EROEI % net Representative Source
100:1 99 Early oil
50:1 98 Mid 20th century
33:1 97 Late 20th century
25:1 96 Turn of 21st
20:1 95 Century oil
15:1 93 Oil now?
10:1 90
9:1 89 Deep water oil?
8:1 88
7:1 86 Tar sands?
6:1 83
5:1 80 Polar oil?
4:1 75
3:1 67 Biodiesel
2:1 50
1.5:1 33 Oil shale?
1.33:1 25 Ethanol best
1.25:1 20
1.1:1 9
1:1 0
1:.7 -43 Ethanol worst
The next steps are to consider increasing population and declining extraction in concert with declining EROEI. Together, those three trends cut useful per capita energy in half before 2030, which is only a college student's lifetime away, and which places us where we were before the green revolution, which raises the issue of feeding ourselves - seen grain prices lately? Another student's lifetime and we're back where we were before the Great Depression. But I think by then we may think of that "Great" in a whole different vein, as in that was the Great Depression, and this is the Terrible One.
(sorry I don't know how to insert a table nor align these columns 'freehand')
Words, words and more words.
But some neat words too.
Perhaps we all should think how to translate these words into ACTION.
Hey, do something. Then POST. Start a PROJECT.
Just don't write words which are sure to be lost aka the bit bucket.
regards from senior techie.
We're just learning maths here with each others.
Easy on us :).
Each thing on its time and place.
Greets
"For highter EROEI, the difference is negligible. But it skyrockets when you approach 1."
It may skyrocket when it approaches 1:1, but I think it becomes extremely important well before that - at least in ratios under 10:1. See my reasoning in my post above...
"You can never solve a problem on the level on which it was created."
Albert Einstein
"For the later case"
What case are you refering to? The importance to EROEI and any percentage will depend on how much energy the machine processes over its lifetime.
What you say is correct: the factor is not 2X but 1.0099X. In order to get 2X you would need the second input EROEI to be less than 1.
Chris