109 comments on DrumBeat: September 3, 2007
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109 comments on DrumBeat: September 3, 2007
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GAIA Host Collective
In the mid-latitudes (25, 30 degrees or so), the daily reduction in insolation and longer night time radiation losses, would work against any significant lengthening of the "at risk" season for Cat 3+ hurricanes. Warmer water (no serious storms in the GoM in 2006 and so far in 2007) will likely add several days/a week to the at risk period.
A comparable argument can be made for other sources of heating.
Best Hopes,
Alan
IIRC the rhyme I learnt while sailing in the carribean was:
June too soon,
July stand by,
August you must,
September remember,
October all over.
Recent history would suggest this needs to be shunted forward at least one month.