Regarding Russia, a recent Reuters report showed that Russian crude oil exports (I don't know about total liquids) were down at a rate of 9.2% per year, from Q3 2006 to Q3 2007.

The Alfa Bank report (July, 2007):

http://www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2007/07/10/042.html
Tuesday, July 10, 2007. Issue 3695. Page 5.
The Moscow Times: Alfa Report Sees Trouble Looming in Russian Oil Sector
By Anatoly Medetsky
Staff Writer

Alfa Bank warned on Monday that "production stagnation is unavoidable" at the country's oil fields and further downgraded its target prices for shares in most Russian oil companies.

The dramatic worsening in its outlook was the result of the government's reluctance to consider lowering taxes on oil firms and a higher proportion of water in the declining output, the bank said in a research report. . .

. . . The increasing proportion of water in total output was a major source of concern, the bank's analysts wrote. This causes a quickening in the rate of natural production decline at most fields.

If the Russian HL plot (using data through 1984 to generate the model) is even close to correct, Russia is about to show a horrific net export decline rate.

FSU oil export is one thing (scary enough on it's own), but how about FSU natural gas exports.

Any new data @ ASPO on that?

Or is it too inflammable to handle for us Europeans (assumption: we are toast when FSU NatGas exports start to tank)?