You state that Russias production is, at best, flat, while ending the sentence by conluding the 3 largest producers are in decline.

It wouldn't surprise me if Russia is indeed in decline right now, but it undermines the conclusion.

Edit: Great piece by the way, but I doubt oil-based deodorants will be affordable

"but I doubt oil-based deodorants will be affordable"

Put on your Phish and Grateful Dead records, it's time for Patchouli Oil...