![]() | DrumBeat: October 18, 2007 | The Oil Drum | Boone Pickens: There's No End in Sight for the Rise in Crude Oil Prices | ![]() |
22 comments on Houston ASPO - the Workshop day
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22 comments on Houston ASPO - the Workshop day
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Thanks for the writeup! I'm sure I'm not the only one who had to skip both Cork and Houston and get DVDs instead. Yes, it's a pale imitation, but at least saves some fuel and less GHGs are emitted, fwiw.
Hope you all have a good time and cover new ground on the issues that have been lately on table (OPEC maintenance schedules, ELM, price trends & the rest).
Thanks HO for the commentary on yesterdays' sessions. I arrived last night...light rail out to the airport in Portland, OR, then two+ hours to get from the Houston IAH airport via SuperShuttle to my hotel room in downtown for the ASPO conference. A study in contrasts, shall we say.
Today's sessions very stimulating. Just as soon as I get to feeling a bit optimistic about humanity's ability to deal with PO, I look at the data again and get pretty bummed out. We can do this, but where's the tipping point? Nobody seems to know, including Boone Pickens (drumbeat), Tom Whipple, Matt Simmons, etc., etc.
The tipping point in the U.S. will be when lines start forming at the gas stations. Our balancing act is just about over and the teeter-totter will smack the ground very soon.
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Judging by the third quarter OECD inventory trends, it won't be the US where the shortages hit but more likely a european country.
Since Europe exports Gasoline to the US I disagree.
They will stop exports before they suffer internal shortages.
Even in a open market your talking about one buyer on a pipeline and the other needing a tanker.
The gas lines of the 70's were the result of price controls. No one in this administration thinks that price controls are a good idea, hence we will in all probability not have gas lines but rather $7.50 / gallon on the sign out front. That will keep the lines more than adequately short.
The supply will be whatever it will be, the price will simply adjust to keep the good stuff flowing to those willing or capable of paying.
There won't be lines at gas stations. There'll be higher prices.