![]() | The Kipper Gas Field: Our CO2 Future | TOD: Australia/New Zealand | The Bullroarer - Thursday 8 November 2007 | ![]() |
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I don't see how the peak oil case is arguable. Even if the entire planet were made of oil, it would at some point get used up, and before it's used up, supply will fall far short of demand. The only question is when those two points point are.
Given that even with a Magic Doohickey to attach to every car engine to convert them to run on Magical Manna From The Skies, it'd take a decade or more to change them all over, and another decade or more to change over other sorts of equipment, if the point "oil running short" is less than a generation away, we need to act now.
It reminds me of what my woman says to "is the glass half-empty or half-full?"
"That depends," she says, "on whether you're drinking it or filling it up."
We're drinking it. At some point it'll be half-empty, and that's the time to, as I was once told on recruit course, to "get your shit together in a sock and wire it tight."
I don't think any of that is particularly controversial. It's not even as complex or arguable as global warming.
A few articles here or there are not really challenging the status quo. They've had more articles on whether the moon landings were faked.
We're talking at cross-purposes here - in this case by "peak oil" I meant "peak oil within the next couple of years".
I think the number of people and organisations arguing for a peak more than, say, 30 years out is pretty low.